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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Fades & Snaps Three-Session Losing Streak Despite Bullish & Much Better-Than-Expected EIA Storage Report; Gas Prices Still Overvalued But A Sustained Pullback Is Unlikely; Natural Gas Demand To Hold Steady Before Rising Slowly Next Week; No Triple Digit Weekly Storage Injections Expected This Season
Friday, October 3, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for September 20-26, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +53 BCF. This was well below my +64 BCF projection and was a steep 32 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average. It was a 5-year low build for the week. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the injection averaged 3.2 BCF/day tight, or bullish, versus the 5-year average. This was the tightest injection of 2025 so far. This means that the majority of the bullishness of the injection—over 22 BCF of the 32 BCF of bullishness—was due to fundamentals factors rather than temperature. In this case, that was likely due to the combination of low wind generation and a recovery in LNG exports. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 3561 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average tumbled to +171 BCF. The year-over-year surplus even narrowed to +21 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, the current season is closely hugging 2024 levels for the second highest storage...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
