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Daily Commentary


Natural Gas Storage Projection For September 16-22: Bullish Storage Injection Expected As Late-Summer Heatwave Boosts Demand

Chart Of The Day

Chart of the Day: Click here for more information on on natural gas powerburn.


Friday, September 22, 2017
Today's commentary discussing my projection for next week's natural gas storage projection and near-term outlook for natural gas is published exclusively on Seeking Alpha. Click below to read the full article.


In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for the week of September 9-15, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories grew by +97 BCF. This was much larger than my projected +86 BCF build and was 24 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average. It was the third straight bearish weekly build and boosted the natural gas storage surplus versus the 5-year average from a negligible +8 BCF on August 25 to +67 BCF as of September 15. This growth in surplus has been due to the unfortunate combination of cooler-than-average temperatures, powerburn suppression and electrical outages associated with hurricanes Harvey and Maria, and the Labor Day Holiday. Unsurprisingly, following the report that was both bearish and worse than expected, natural gas cratered, falling 15 cents or 4.8...

Continue Reading Full Article (Seeking Alpha)...




Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, September 21, 2017
EIA Projected To Announce Bearish +86 BCF Natural Gas Inventory Injection In Today's Storage Report; Gas Demand Climbs To Weekly High As Massive Dome Of Late-Summer Heat Dominates The East; Oil Rises To 4-Month High Above $50/Barrel Despite Larger-Than-Expected Crude Inventory Build


Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio Holds Near 2017 Highs; EIA Forecast To Announce 'Meh' Crude Oil Inventory Build But Exceptionally Bullish Refined Product Drawdowns In Today's Report; Natural Gas Demand Rises With Late-Summer Heat, But New Highs May Be Difficult To Come By


Tuesday, September 19, 2017
Natural Gas Rises To 4-Month High As September Heatwave Boosts Demand; Hurricane Irma Rapidly Intensifies To Category 5 Strength As It Pounds Dominica & Heads Towards Puerto Rico; Natural Gas Still Undervalued, But Steep Contango & Record Production May Limit Further Near-Term Gains


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Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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