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Daily Commentary


Natural Gas Falls After EIA Reports A Bullish, But Larger-Than-Expected Weekly Storage Injection; Temperature-Adjusted Supply/Demand Imbalance Loosens As Production Rises To New Record; Neutral Storage Build Expected This Week Before Bearish Injections Resume Next Week As East Coast Cools

Chart Of The Day

Chart of the Day: Click here for more information on natural gas inventories.


Friday, August 17, 2018
After 4 weeks of consistently beating expectations, the EIA finally came in on the wrong side of my and analyst projections in yesterday's weekly Natural Gas Storage Report, even if the reported injection itself was very bullish. The agency announced that natural gas inventories for the week of August 4-10 rose by +33 BCF. This was 5 BCF larger than my +28 BCF projection, but was still 23 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average +56 BCF injection. All 5 storage regions came in at or below the 5-year average last week, including the Pacific and South Central regions which reported weekly storage withdrawals of -5 BCF and -6 BCF, respectively. With the draw, the Pacific region now leads the nation with the largest storage deficit with inventories that, at 240 BCF, are 25% below the 5-year average. Nationwide storage levels now stand at 2387 BCF while the storage deficit versus the 5-year average grew to a new 5-year high of -595 BCF or -20%. It was not all good news, however. After...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, August 16, 2018
Crude Oil Sells-Off To 2-Month Low After Thoroughly Bearish EIA Status Report And Strong Dollar; Natural Gas Hovers Near 2-Month High Ahead Of Today's Bullish Projected +28 BCF Injection, But Time Is Running Out To Sustain Rally; Gas Demand To Rise Today As East Coast Heat Returns


Tuesday, August 14, 2018
Natural Gas Continues Organized Pullback As Expectations For Bullish EIA Injection Prop Up Bullish Sentiment Near-Term; Gas Demand To Rebound Today As East Coast Warms; Late August & Early September Broad Cooldown Possible, But Uncertainty Remains


Monday, August 13, 2018
Natural Gas Pulls Back To End The Week, But Near-Term Fundamentals Remain Strong As Storage Deficit Climbs To A New 4-Year High; Natural Gas Short Trade Now A Contrarian Trade Based On Latest CFTC Investor Holdings Data; Near-Average Storage Injection Expected Today, But Demand To Rise This Week As East Coast Warms Again


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Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.