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Daily Commentary


Natural Gas Investor Sentiment Climbs To New 52-Week High Despite 5% Weekly Loss And Continued Overvaluation; Gas Demand Remains Robust On Chilly Temperature Pattern With Third Consecutive Bullish +66 BCF Storage Injection Expected In This Week's EIA Storage Report; Above-Average Demand Likely To Persist This Week As Well

Chart Of The Day

Chart of the Day: Click here for more information on on natural gas storage.


Monday, May 22, 2017
Crude oil rose 98 cents or 2% on Friday to close at $50.33/barrel, netting a 5% weekly gain and settling above the $50 threshold for the first time in a month ahead of next week's critical OPEC meeting. Natural gas, meanwhile, rallied 2.3% on Friday to close near $3.26/MMBTU, but still slumped by 4.9% on the week, bolstered by forecasts for more seasonal temperatures and a larger-than-expected +68 BCF storage injection on Friday, that was 8 BCF larger than my +60 BCF projection, suggesting a potentially loosening market. On Friday, the natural gas ETF UNG completed its monthly rollover into July 2017 contracts meaning that all leveraged and non-leveraged oil and natural gas products are now completely into the July contracts ahead of next week's options expiration.


On Friday, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) released its weekly report detailing money manager oil and natural gas positions on the NYMEX as of May 16. Despite the nearly 5% pullback in natural gas pri...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, May 18, 2017
EIA Forecast To Announce Bullish +60 BCF Storage Injection For May 6-12 In Today's Report; Extreme Temperature Pattern Expected Today With 90's As Far North As Maine & Snow Showers In Denver; Crude Oil Survives Market Carnage, Rises To 3-Week High After Bullish EIA Report


Wednesday, May 17, 2017
Oil Slumps Afterhours Following API Forecast Of Bearish +0.88 MMbbl Crude Oil Storage Build; Heatwave Across the Northeast Today As Natural Gas Remains Above-Average With +9 BCF Storage Injection Expected


Monday, May 15, 2017
Natural Gas Rises 4.5% To 5-Month High As Bullish EIA-Reported Storage Injection & Chilly Temps Boost Sentiment; Investors Continue To Boost Natural Gas Long Investments Even As Overvaluation Grows While, Despite Rising Undervaluation, Oil Sentiment Plunges; Heatwave To Boost Gas Demand Late-Week


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Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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