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Mid-Week Investing Commentary


Natural Gas Tumbles 5% On Tuesday Despite Cooling Temperature Forecast & Large Undervaluation; Assessing The Impact Of The Sell-Off & Cheap Natural Gas On Supply/Demand Balance; EIA Forecast To Announce Bullish Crude Oil & Refined Product Inventory Numbers In Today's Report

Chart Of The Day

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Wednesday, December 13, 2017
The next Daily Commentary will be published on Thursday, December 14. What follows is the mid-week Trading Commentary available to subscribers. For more on subscribing, please click HERE. Thank you to all of those who continue to support the site!


You can read Tuesday's full Daily Commentary HERE.


Nat gas continued its swan dive on Tuesday, tumbling 14 cents or 5.3% to settle at $2.68/MMBTU. While similar sell-offs over the past few weeks have been attributable to volatility in the extended temperature outlook, Tuesday's cannot. While not brutally cold by any stretch, the late December outlook remains neutral to mildly favorable for natural gas demand, and actually trended colder during the trading session. Thus, this latest phase in the ongoing correction cannot be blamed on Mother Nature alone. Perhaps a large long position facing a margin call was forced to close at a large loss. Perhaps a renewed concern over record production spurred a ...

Continue Reading Full Article...




Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Monday, December 11, 2017
Natural Gas Sees 9% Weekly Loss On Surprise EIA Storage Injection & Warming Trend; Bearish Investor Sentiment Surges To 2017 High, But Could Set Stage For Rally Once Catalyst Arrives; Gas Demand Surges Over The Weekend To Prompt First Projected Bullish Withdrawal In 4 Weeks As Arctic Air Reaches Gulf Coast


Friday, December 8, 2017
Natural Gas Continues Weeklong Meltdown Thursday After EIA Reports Surprise +2 BCF Weekly Storage Injection; Gas Demand To Soar Today As Rare Winter Storm Targets The Gulf Coast, But Won't Be Enough To Prevent Another Bearish Weekly Withdrawal; Natural Gas Fundamentally Broken, But Still Due For A Near Term Bounce


Thursday, December 7, 2017
EIA Projected To Announce Exceptionally Bearish -6 BCF Natural Gas Storage Draw For December 2-8 In Today's Report; Gas Demand Surges On Arctic Outbreak With Bullish Daily Withdrawals Likely Through December 16, But Moderating 10-15 Day Outlook Continues To Fuel Sell-Off; Crude Oil Drops 3% On Large Gasoline Build


Click HERE For Full 30-Day Archive




Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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