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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers

Natural Gas Can't Hold Gains After The EIA Reports A Smaller-Than-Expected Storage Draw & Near-Term Temperature Outlook Moderates--But Bulls Are Still In The Fight; Crude Oil Recovers After US-China Rumors; Domestic Supply Rises To All-Time Record High; Gas Demand To Bottom Today As Arctic Air Returns This Weekend

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Friday, January 18, 2019
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for January 5-11, the EIA announced Thursday morning that natural gas inventories fell by -81 BCF. This was 4 BCF smaller than my -85 BCF projection and, thanks to extensive warmth throughout the week, was 137 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average. All 5 storage regions saw bearish withdrawals, led by the South Central region which, despite having the largest 5-year average withdrawal of any region (-73 BCF) actually saw the smallest draw of just -4 BCF, 69 BCF bearish all on its own. 3 out of the 5 storage regions are now at year-over-year surpluses according to the EIA data with only the Mountain and Pacific regions holding onto deficits. However, all 5 regions maintain robust deficits versus their 5 year average led, on an absolute basis by the South Central region at -136 BCF despite its exceptionally bearish draw this report, and by the Pacific region on a percentage basis at -26%. With the draw, natural gas inventories fell to 2533 BCF while...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, January 17, 2019
Undervalued Natural Gas Falls For A Second Day As Near-Term Computer Models Oscillate; EIA Projected To Announce Bearish -84 BCF Storage Withdrawal Today; Oil Rises Despite Another Bearish Petroleum Status Report; Natural Gas Inventories Forecast To Flip To A Year-Over-Year Surplus Today For The First Time In Over 2 Years--But It Will Be Short-Lived

Wednesday, January 16, 2019
Natural Gas Pulls Back After 20% Rally As Near-Term Outlook Moderates From Bitterly Cold To Just Very Cold; EIA Forecast To Announce Another Bearish Inventory Draw Today As Bulls' Patients Gets Tested; Gas Demand To Fall For A Second Day Today As Northeast Warms Despite Early Arctic Air Across The Northern Plains

Tuesday, January 15, 2019
Volatility Is Back, Baby: Natural Gas Soars On Monday To Push Two-Session Gains To Over +20% As Multiple Arctic Blasts Likely Beginning Next Week; 2019 Year-To-Date Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio Gains Top +7.5%--But I May Have Moved Too Soon; Backwardation Puts The Bears On The Clock, But Bulls Still Need To Keep Exuberance In Check

Click HERE For Full 30-Day Archive

Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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