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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


Natural Gas Flat Near 2-Year Lows After Uninspiring EIA Storage Report & Warming Long-Term Models While Crude Oil Rises On US-China Trade War Optimism; Natural Gas Supply/Demand Imbalance Tightens On Recovering LNG Feedgas & Discounted Prices; Gas Demand To Rise Today As Arctic Air Expands, Driving A Return To Bullish Weekly Storage Withdrawals

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Friday, February 15, 2019
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for February 2-8, the EIA announced Thursday morning that natural gas inventories rose by +78 BCF. This was equal to my projection and was a very bearish 82 BCF smaller than the 5-year average -160 BCF draw. The bearishness of the draw was led by the South Central Region which saw an ugly +4 BCF regional storage injection versus the 5-year average -44 BCF draw, driven by consistently warmer-than-normal temperatures as well as sharply lower LNG exports from Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi due to maintenance and fog. All five regions remain at large storage deficits versus the 5-year average that exceed 8%, but three out of the five are now at year-over-year surpluses. Interestingly, the South Central Region has the largest absolute deficit versus the 5-year average (-118 BCF), but also the largest year-over-year surplus (+47 BCF) of any region. With the -78 BCF draw, natural gas inventories fell to 1882 BCF while the storage deficit versus the...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, February 14, 2019
Hard Knocks: Natural Gas Tumbles After Arctic Outbreak Gets CANCELLED; Crude Oil Rises Despite Larger-Than-Expected Inventory Build On Weak Imports & Bullish Goldman Comments; EIA Projected To Announce Exceptionally Bearish -78 BCF Natural Gas Storage Withdrawal Today; Gas Demand To Fall Sharply Today On Warming East


Wednesday, February 13, 2019
Natural Gas Poised To Pullback As Near-Term Models Favor Less Frigid Late-February Outlook; EIA Forecast To Report Bullish Crude Oil Inventory Draw Today; Near-Average Natural Gas Daily Storage Withdrawal Likely Today As Northern Plains Remain Cold; LNG Export Data Is Back And Shows Rebounding Demand


Monday, February 11, 2019
Natural Gas Looks To Extend Bounce From 2-Year Lows As Near-Term Temperature Outlook Trends Colder Over The Weekend Even As Highly Uncertain March Forecast Warms; Crude Oil Still Digesting January Gains As Strong Dollar & Demand Fears Weigh; Gas Demand To Fall To Near-Average Today As Midwest Moderates


Click HERE For Full 30-Day Archive




Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.