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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


Natural Gas Holds Its Ground After Monday's Short Squeeze While Oil Traders Watch & Wait; EIA Forecast To Announce The Second Largest Crude Oil Inventory Draw On Record For June 15-21 In Today's Status Report; Natural Gas Demand To Inch Higher For Third Straight Day As East & Central US Warm

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Wednesday, June 26, 2019
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


Natural gas recovered from early-session losses to hold up remarkably well following Monday's 5.4% spike. After dipping 2% out of the gates back to $2.24/MMBTU, the commodity ended the day up less than 1 cent or 0.2% to $2.31/MMBTU. Computer models again trended slightly warmer in the near term, likely providing some support for the sector. However, after two consecutive disappointing EIA Storage Reports, investors will closely be eyeing Thursday's numbers to see if cheaper prices and, what appears to be a tightening market, are having a visible impact on storage levels. This, as well as the evolution of the temperature outlook for early July, will dictate near-term price movements. Regardless, I am not expecting a V-shaped recovery here. There will likely be a period of increased volatility as natural gas puts in a stable bottom. I am maintaining my $2.60/MMBTU price target by the end of the summer. Meanwhile, ahead of today's EIA Petroleum...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Tuesday, June 25, 2019
Squeezed: Natural Gas Crushes The Shorts In Long Overdue Rally As Near-Term Temperature Warms; Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio Sees Best Day Of The Quarter; Day Traders Rejoice As Natural Gas Volatility Spikes While ETF Holders Should Use Caution; Gas Demand To Rise For A Third Straight Day Today As Heartland Warms


Monday, June 24, 2019
Natural Gas Crashes & Burns On Brutal 1-2 Punch As Short Trade Overcrowdedness Reaches 3-Year High, Setting Up A Long-Term Squeeze Opportunity; Crude Oil Surges On Geopolitical Tension & Inventory Draw, But Is Still Undervalued; Gas Demand To Remain Soft Today On Heartland Chill, But Will Recover Some Throughout The Week


Thursday, June 20, 2019
Oil Unable To Hold Onto Gains Despite All-Around Bullish EIA-Reported Storage Withdrawal While Natural Gas Slumps To New 3-Year Low On July Temperature Concerns; EIA Forecast To Announce 14th Straight Bearish Natural Gas Storage Injection Today


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Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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