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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


Crude Oil Dips Following Neutral EIA Petroleum Status Report While Natural Gas Slides As Near-Term Temperature Outlook Trends Steadily Cooler; EIA Projected To Announce Modestly Bearish +64 BCF Storage Injection In Today's Report; LNG Feedgas Demand Soars To New Record High As Facility Maintenance Concludes

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Thursday, August 22, 2019
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


In its weekly Petroleum Status Report, the EIA announced Wednesday morning that crude oil inventories fell by -2.7 MMbbls during the week of August 10-16. On the one hand, this snapped a two-week streak in which storage levels had risen, but at the same time, the decline was smaller than Tuesday's American Petroleum Institute (API) expectation of a -3.5 MMbbl draw and was an uninspiring neutral versus the 5-year average, also -2.7 MMbbl. The draw also compared unfavorably versus last year's bullish -5.8 MMbbl decline. Imports dipped by -0.5 MMbbls/day from the previous week to 7.2 MMbbls and are 0.3 MMbbl/day lower than 2018, but imports have been consistently under 7.0 MMbbl/day throughout the summer and with Saudi Arabia making a push to tighten flows to the US, this number has to be at least a little disappointing. On the other hand, exports rose by another 0.1 MMbbls/day week-over-week to 2.8 MMbbls/day, more than double last year when exports were a mere 1.2 MMbbls/day, impressive...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Wednesday, August 21, 2019
Natural Gas Holds Its Ground Above $2.20/MMBTU Even As Demand Likely Peaks For The Summer; EIA Expected To Report Modest Inventory Drawdown In Neutral Petroleum Status Report Today; LNG Feedgas Demand Continues Rapid Recovery As Flows To Corpus Christi Record All-Time Highs


Monday, August 19, 2019
Natural Gas Sees First Weekly Gain In A Month, But Near-Term Rallies Likely To Be Sold As Late- August & Early September Temperature Outlook Trends Cooler; Natural Gas Bullish Sentiment Falls To 5-Year Low--A Long-Term Short-Squeeze Set-Up, But For Now, Mob Mentality Will Continue To Dominate; Gas Demand To Reach Weekly High Today As Storage Deficit Briefly Climbs Back Above -100 BCF


Friday, August 16, 2019
Natural Gas Squeezes The Shorts After The EIA Reports Second Straight Smaller-Than-Expected Injection--But Multi-Period Cooldown May Kneecap This Bullish Catalyst; Crude Oil Pulls Back Further On Demand Growth Concerns, But Commodity Remain Solidly Undervalued; Natural Gas Production Rises To A Record High While Temperature-Adjusted Powreburn Remains Strong


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Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.