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Daily Commentary


Double Header: EIA Projected To Announce Bearish -116 BCF Natural Gas Storage Withdrawal For February 10-16 While First Crude Oil Inventory Withdrawal for February 10-16 Since 2002 Possible; Natural Gas Demand Rises As East Cools With Storage To Drop Below 1700 BCF Tonight For The First Time Since April 2015

Chart Of The Day

Chart of the Day: Click here for more information on on natural gas investing.


Thursday, February 22, 2018
Natural gas rose for a second straight day on Wednesday as the commodity climbed 4 cents or 1.6% to settle at $2.66/MMBTU, the highest close since February 8 as expectations for a colder-than-average first two weeks of March fueled an oversold bounce. I was somewhat (pleasantly) surprised with Wednesday's follow-through rally since the March outlook has, if anything, trended milder and narrowed in duration over the past 72 hours with the second half of the month looking warmer than it was this time last week. It is likely that, even with this moderating trend, the commodity was so oversold and undervalued--by upwards of 30% according to my Fair Price Model--that even the threat of a break in the consistently mild temperatures the US has been enduring was been sufficient to prompt a relief rally. Crude oil finished mixed for a second straight day, although the benchmarks were flipped on Wednesday compared to Tuesday with WTI falling 11 cents or 0.2% to $61.68/barrel and Brent rising 17 ...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Wednesday, February 21, 2018
Natural Gas Rises 2% To Start The Week On Oversold Bounce & Optimism For Cold Start To March; Gas Demand To Rebound Today From Tuesday's Lows As Arctic Cold Front Presses Eastward, Even As East Remains Unseasonably Mild; LNG Feedgas Demand Rebounds As Flows Resume At Cove Point Plant


Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Natural Gas Looks To Bounce In Holiday-Shortened Week As A Colder-than-Average Start To March Looks Increasingly Likely; But Before That, Natural Gas Demand To Tumble Today As Record Warmth Engulfs East, Driving Second Straight Bearish Weekly Storage Withdrawal


Thursday, February 15, 2018
EIA Projected To Announce Bullish -181 BCF Natural Gas Storage Withdrawal In Today's Report; Gas Demand To Tumble Today To 2018-Low As Temperature Warm, Driving The First Of At Least 3 Straight Bearish Weekly Draws; Crude Oil Climbs Back Above $60/Barrel After EIA Reports Smaller-Than-Expected Inventory Build


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Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.