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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers

Natural Gas Falls To Near 3-Year Low As Loose Market & Bearish Weather Outlook Leaves Bears Unchecked; Crude Oil Dips Despite Bullish Inventory Drawdown As Refinery Demand Still Lags (For Now); EIA Projected To Announce Bearish +89 BCF Natural Gas Inventory Build In Today's Storage Report

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Thursday, April 18, 2019
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.

In its weekly Petroleum Status Report for April 6-12, the EIA announced Wednesday morning that crude oil inventories fell by -1.4 MMbbls, the first storage drawdown in three weeks. The draw was nearly 5 MMbbls bullish versus the 5-year average +3.2 MMbbl storage build, but was shy of Tuesday's -3.1 MMbbl American Petroleum Institute (API) forecast. With the draw, inventories fell to 455.2 MMbbls. The nascent storage surplus versus the 5-year average flipped back to a -0.5 MMbbl storage deficit. However, inventories are still up a robust 27.6 MMbbls compared to this time last year. The bullishness of the draw was driven by exceptionally soft crude oil imports which averaged just 5.99 MMbbls/day last week, the second time this year that imports failed to top 6 MMbbls/day, not having done so previously since the late 1990s. As a result, imports are down a massive 1.94 MMbbls/day year-over-year which has more than countered the rise in production which, after this week's 100,000 barrel/day decline...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Wednesday, April 17, 2019
Death By A Thousand Paper Cuts: Small But Consistent Daily Drops Continue To Punish Natural Gas Bulls In The Absence Of A Positive Catalyst; EIA Expected To Announce Bullish Crude Oil Inventory Drawdown In Today's Status Report; Gas Demand To Fall To Fresh 2019-Low Today As Projected Realtime Inventories Top 1300 BCF

Tuesday, April 16, 2019
Natural Gas Continues To Feel The Impact Of Bearish Temperature Outlook As Prices Fall Under $2.60/MMBTU; Gas Demand To Fall Today With Storage Deficit Versus The 5-Year Average Contracting Under -400 BCF; Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio Eclipses New 2019 High

Monday, April 15, 2019
Natural Gas Facing Stiff Headwinds As Late April & Early May Outlook Trends Seasonal Amidst Loose Supply/Demand Imbalance; Natural Gas Bulls Steadily Liquidating Their Holdings While Oil Bulls Take Control; Gas Demand To Fall This Week With Year-Over-Year Deficit Flipping To A Surplus By Wednesday

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Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

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Crude Oil Storage

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