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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


Natural Gas Bounces After Slightly Smaller-Than-Expected EIA-Reported Storage Injection While Oil Crashes After Bloated Inventories Finally Catch Up With Investors; Domestic Gas Production Dips, But Imbalance Remains Over-Supplied; Gas Demand To Inch Higher Today With A Third Straight Triple Digit Build Expected Even As Brutal Southeast Heat Builds

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Friday, May 24, 2019
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for the week of May 11-17, the EIA announced Thursday morning that natural gas inventories rose by +100 BCF. It was the second straight triple-digit build and the third of 2019, the most in a single season since 2015. The reported injection was 3 BCF smaller than my projected +103 BCF build and was 12 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average +88 BCF. Natural gas stocks rose to 1753 BCF while the storage deficit versus the 5-year average contracted down to -274 BCF or -14%. Inventories are up +137 BCF or +8 BCF year-over-year. The bearishness of the build was driven by the South Central Region which saw a +31 BCF injection, 6 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average +25 BCF. The Pacific, Mountain, and Midwest Regions also saw builds of 5 BCF, 2 BCF, and 3 BCF bearish versus their respective 5-year averages. The East Region, on the other hand, saw a +23 BCF injection, 4 BCF bullish versus its 5-year average as warmth across the southern half of the...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, May 23, 2019
Crude Oil Finally Collapses After The EIA Announces Another Exceptionally Bearish Storage Build, But Further Downside Should Be Limited As WTI Reaches Its Fair Price; Natural Gas Approaches Its Downside Price Target Ahead Of Today's Projected Bearish +103 BCF Storage Injection; Gas Demand Begins To Rise As South Heats Up


Wednesday, May 22, 2019
Natural Gas Falls As June Outlook Trends Cooler While Oil Rally Fizzles As Geopolitics Can Only Offer So Much Support; EIA Forecast To Announce Another Bearish Crude Oil Storage Build In Today's Petroleum Status Report; Gas Demand To Drop With Bearish +16 BCF Daily Storage Injection Expected As Unseasonable West Chill Counters Southeast Heat


Monday, May 20, 2019
Natural Gas Bulls Eye Upcoming Southeastern Heat Wave For Support But The Bears Remain The Dominant Players For Now; Crude Oil Searches For Direction As Volatile Geopolitics Mask Soft Domestic Fundamentals; First Bullish Daily Natural Gas Storage Injection This Month Expected Today As Eastern Seaboard Bakes & Heartland Chills


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Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.