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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


Natural Gas Sputters Despite Larger-Than-Expected EIA-Reported Storage Withdrawal & Favorable Supply/Demand Data While Oil Tumbles To Snap 3-Day Winning Streak; Natural Gas Production Resumes Slide As Year-Over-Year Gain Narrows While Powerburn Extends Gains Versus 2019, Promising Strong Cooling Season; Gas Demand To Dip Today On Mild East Even As South Bakes

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Friday, March 27, 2020
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


In what is likely the penultimate weekly storage withdrawal of the 2019-20 heating season, the EIA announced Thursday morning that natural gas inventories fell by -29 BCF for the week of March 14-20. While this was 11 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average, it was 6 BCF larger than my -23 BCF projection and came in above the projections of most analysts as well. It was also a significant improvement over the previous week's tiny -7 BCF draw. With the draw, storage levels fell to 2005 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average rose to +292 BCF or +17%. Compared to last year, investors are +888 BCF higher or +79%. As has been the case for each of the previous 4 weeks, the South Central Region led the way driving the bearishness of the report. The region recorded a +15 BCF injection, 13 BCF larger than the 5-year average +2 BCF build, driving the region's surplus versus the 5-year average to +106 BCF, closing in on the 2020 high of +125 BCF from back in January. The East Region was...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, March 26, 2020
Welcome To The Natural Gas Injection Season: Gas Demand To Fall Today On Mild Eastern Seaboard As The First In A String Of Daily Storage Builds Likely To Kick Off The Shoulder Season; EIA Projected To Announce Modestly Bearish -23 BCF Natural Gas Withdrawal In Today's Storage Report; Oil Holds Onto Gains After Neutral Status Report, But Near-Term Volatility & Downside Risk Remain


Wednesday, March 25, 2020
Natural Gas & Oil Rally As Dow Jones Sees Largest Daily Point Gain On Record; EIA Expected To Announce Bullish Petroleum Status Report Today As Investors Await Impact Of COVID-19-Induced Demand Shock; Gas Demand To Drop Today But Losses Blunted As Cooling Demand Rises On Deep South Heat


Tuesday, March 24, 2020
Natural Gas Recovers From Early-Session 25-Year Low As Bullish Tailwind Grows; Oil Rebounds, But Volatile Trading Likely To Continue On Highly Uncertain Supply/Demand Picture; LNG Exports To Dip From Near-All-Time Highs Today While Investors Eye Bloated European Inventories As Storage Levels Bottom Amidst Supply Glut & Demand Losses


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US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.