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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
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-Daily Commentaries, a 2000-3000 word 5x per week treatise on natural gas fundamentals & trading outlook and strategies
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Advanced Model Page ***NEW!***
A new page integrating data from multiple models to generate gas-weighted degree day (GWDD) forecasts for the next 44 days. This page will be available to all through Friday, November 30, after which time it will be available to subscribers only. Click HERE to learn more about subscribing.
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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Flat Near 2-Year Lows After Uninspiring EIA Storage Report & Warming Long-Term Models While Crude Oil Rises On US-China Trade War Optimism; Natural Gas Supply/Demand Imbalance Tightens On Recovering LNG Feedgas & Discounted Prices; Gas Demand To Rise Today As Arctic Air Expands, Driving A Return To Bullish Weekly Storage Withdrawals
Friday, February 15, 2019
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for February 2-8, the EIA announced Thursday morning that natural gas inventories rose by +78 BCF. This was equal to my projection and was a very bearish 82 BCF smaller than the 5-year average -160 BCF draw. The bearishness of the draw was led by the South Central Region which saw an ugly +4 BCF regional storage injection versus the 5-year average -44 BCF draw, driven by consistently warmer-than-normal temperatures as well as sharply lower LNG exports from Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi due to maintenance and fog. All five regions remain at large storage deficits versus the 5-year average that exceed 8%, but three out of the five are now at year-over-year surpluses. Interestingly, the South Central Region has the largest absolute deficit versus the 5-year average (-118 BCF), but also the largest year-over-year surplus (+47 BCF) of any region. With the -78 BCF draw, natural gas inventories fell to 1882 BCF while the storage deficit versus the...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
