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Oil & Natural Gas Investing



Natural Gas Storage



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Daily Commentary


EIA Forecast To Announce Near-Average -1.5 MMbbl Crude Oil Drawdown But Large Gasoline & Distillate Draws In Today's Petroleum Report; Natural Gas Slides 3% As Commodity Remains Overvalued; Gas Demand Slides Today Amidst Chilly Deep South, But Remains Above-Average

Chart Of The Day

Chart of the Day: Click here for more information on on oil storage.


Wednesday, May 24, 2017
On Tuesday, natural gas erased Monday's modest gains and then some, sliding 11 cents or 3.3% to close at $3.22/MMBTU. Despite Tuesday's pullback and a generally bullish near-term temperature pattern, natural gas remains overvalued by 5.9% versus its 8-month averaged Fair Price. After Monday's rally had boosted the overvaluation to above 8%, I increased my natural gas short position via a short stake in UGAZ. I continue see an elevated downside risk at current levels and will plan to cover dips should the overvaluation fall to less than 2% and sell short any rips above $3.50/MMBTU or an overvaluation of around 8%-10%.


Crude oil, meanwhile, rose for a fifth consecutive day, climbing 34 cents or 0.7% to settle at $51.47/MMBTU ahead of today's EIA Petroleum Report. It was the first day of the July 2017 contract as the Front Month contract and represented the highest close for the commodity in over a month. Crude oil prices are up over 11% in the past 2 weeks. These gains are being...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Monday, May 22, 2017
Natural Gas Investor Sentiment Climbs To New 52-Week High Despite 5% Weekly Loss And Continued Overvaluation; Gas Demand Remains Robust On Chilly Temperature Pattern With Third Consecutive Bullish +66 BCF Storage Injection Expected In This Week's EIA Storage Report; Above-Average Demand Likely To Persist This Week As Well


Thursday, May 18, 2017
EIA Forecast To Announce Bullish +60 BCF Storage Injection For May 6-12 In Today's Report; Extreme Temperature Pattern Expected Today With 90's As Far North As Maine & Snow Showers In Denver; Crude Oil Survives Market Carnage, Rises To 3-Week High After Bullish EIA Report


Wednesday, May 17, 2017
Oil Slumps Afterhours Following API Forecast Of Bearish +0.88 MMbbl Crude Oil Storage Build; Heatwave Across the Northeast Today As Natural Gas Remains Above-Average With +9 BCF Storage Injection Expected


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Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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