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Daily Commentary

Low-Volatility Natural Gas Trading Continues With Seasonally Cool Temperatures Expected Through Early April; Gas Demand To Dip But Remains Above-Average Today As Southeast Warms With Early-Season Severe Weather Outbreak Possible; Natural Gas Undervalued--But Justifiably So

Chart Of The Day

Chart of the Day: Click here for more information on on natural gas investing.

Monday, March 19, 2018
Natural gas rose 0.3% on Friday to settle at $2.69/MMBTU, but the commodity still finished down a slight 1.6% on the week, erasing the previous week's gains. The decline was driven by profit-taking in the wake of the recent rally and disappointment following Thursday's disappointing EIA-reported -93 BCF storage withdrawal for March 3-9. For the past 6 weeks, natural gas has been constrained to a low-volatility pattern, rangebound between $2.55/MMBTU and $2.75/MMBTU as the temperature pattern has remained generally seasonable, preventing any late fireworks before the withdrawal season concludes in the next two weeks. Additionally, the bullish and bearish camps seem to have finally found a middle ground between inventories that will enter the shoulder season around -350 BCF below the 5-year average, favoring prices well above $3.00/MMBTU, and year-over-year gains in supply exceeding 7 BCF/day, supporting prices under $2.50/MMBTU. With the temperature outlook likely remaining seasonally...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Friday, March 16, 2018
Natural Gas Falls For A Second Day As EIA Storage Report Disappoints; Gas Demand To Remain Strong Through Next Week With Consecutive Bullish Weekly Inventory Withdrawals Likely As Another Nor'Easter Targets New England; Rapidly Approaching Shoulder Season to Pressure Supply/Demand Balance & Prices As Production & Canadian Imports Rise

Monday, March 12, 2018
Natural Gas Yawns Its Way To A 1% Weekly Gain As Bullish Weekly Storage Withdrawals Expected For The Next Two Weeks; Gas Demand To Rebound Today As Powerful Nor'Easter Targets New England (Again); LNG Feedgas Demand To Plateau As Cove Point Enters Service, But Capacity Will Surge Late This Year Into 2019

Thursday, March 8, 2018
EIA Projected To Announce Bearish Natural Gas Storage Withdrawal In Today's Report For February 24-March 2, But Bullish Triple Digit Draws Now Expected For The Next Two Weeks As Temperature Outlook Trends Colder; Crude Oil Sells Off Despite EIA Reporting Slightly Bullish Inventory Build As Domestic Production Surges

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Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.