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Daily Commentary


Natural Gas Demand Falls Below Average To Start The Week As September-Like Airmass Dominates East, But Early-July Forecast Trends Warmer Over The Weekend; Natural Gas Remains Undervalued & A Solid Long-Term Buying Opportunity; Preliminary Bullish +54 BCF Storage Injection Projected For June 17-23

Chart Of The Day

Chart of the Day: Click here for more information on on intraday weather data.


Monday, June 26, 2017
Natural gas rose by 4 cents or 1.2% on Friday to settle at $2.93/MMBTU. However, the rally was insufficient to cancel out Monday's nearly 5% loss and the commodity lost 3.6% on the week. The losses were driven by forecasts that trended sharply cooler for the last week of June and the first week of July that will likely blunt natural gas demand for the next few days. However, even taking these forecasts into account, natural remains undervalued by an average of 4.1% according to my 8-month Fair Price Model as demand now appears likely to quickly rebound in early July as forecasts warmed over the weekend as well as ongoing market tightness that should support longer term demand.


Crude oil also rebounded on Friday, climbing 27 cents or 0.6% to settle at $43.01/barrel. It was the commodity's 5th consecutive weekly loss--an ugly 4.4% dive--the longest such streak since the initial oil rout in mid-2015. Oil's losses have continued unabated even as crude oil inventories fall to mult...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Friday, June 23, 2017
Natural Gas Flat For A Third Day After EIA Reports Weekly Storage Injection In-Line With Expectations; Preliminary +51 BCF Injection Projected For June 17-23, Second Smallest In Last 23 Years; Gas Demand Poised To Tumble Over The Weekend As Chill Shifts South


Thursday, June 22, 2017
EIA Projected To Announce Bullish +58 BCF Weekly Natural Gas Storage Injection For June 10-16 As Commodity Falls To Near 4-Month Low; Gas Demand Rises Today As Above-Average Temperatures Return To East Ahead Of Weekend Cool Shot; Oil Falls To 10-Month Low As EIA Reports Another Weekly Rise In Production


Wednesday, June 21, 2017
Crude Oil Falls To 9-Month Low Ahead Of Today's EIA Petroleum Report As Supply Concerns Persist; Cooler Temperatures Likely To Reduce Natural Gas Demand Through The End Of June; Tropical Storm Cindy To Make Landfall Near Sabine Pass, Where LNG Feedgas Deliveries Have Fall To A 1-Month Low


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Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.