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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


Natural Gas & Oil Rebuff Attempted Rallies Despite Better-Than-Expected Storage Reports; Natural Gas Production Continues To Slide As Supply/Demand Imbalance Tightens Amidst Historically Cheap Prices; Computer Models Hinting At Early February Pattern Shift--But Will This One Go Bust Too? Investors Seem To Think So

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Friday, January 24, 2020
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for January 11-17, the EIA announced Thursday morning that natural gas inventories fell by -92 BCF. This was a massive 102 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average but did come in 5 BCF larger than my -87 BCF projection. Somewhat surprisingly, only 3 out of the 5 storage regions saw bearish draws. The Mountain (-10 BCF, 5-year average: -9 BCF) and Pacific (-15 BCF, 5-year average: -12 BCF) both saw neutral to slightly bullish draws. However, the other 3 regions were brutally bearish. The South Central Region led the way with a -11 BCF withdrawal, a massive 51 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average, doubling the storage surplus versus the 5-year average to +125 BCF. The East (-20 BCF) and Midwest (-36 BCF) also saw very bearish draws versus their respective 5-year average withdrawals of -52 BCF and -60 BCF. Three out of the five regions are now at triple digit year-over-year surpluses, led by the South Central at +242 BCF followed by the Midwest at ...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, January 23, 2020
Bloodied But Unbowed: Natural Gas Steadies As Near-Term Models Trend Towards Early-February Cooldown While Oil Slides On Global Supply Surplus & Coronavirus Demand Concerns; EIA To Release Dual Oil & Natural Gas Storage Gas Storage Reports This Morning; Demand To Plunge Today As Temperature Rapidly Moderate


Wednesday, January 22, 2020
Humbled: Natural Gas Crashes Under $2.00/MMBTU To Lowest Level Since March 2016 On Balmy Late January Outlook; Looking On The Brightside Amidst The Blood Bath, LNG Soars To Record Highs Despite Forward Risk While Well Completions Continues To Drop; Natural Gas Steeply Undervalued--But When Do We Bounce?; Gas Demand To Begin Slide Today


Tuesday, January 21, 2020
Max Pain: Natural Gas Prices Set To Plunge Under $2.00/MMBTU For The First Time Since 2016 As Temperature Outlook Moderates, Even As Long-Term Undervaluation Soars; Opportunity Abounds For The Aggressive Trader, But Volatility & Further Near-Term Losses May Come First


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