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A new page integrating data from multiple models to generate gas-weighted degree day (GWDD) forecasts for the next 44 days. This page will be available to all through Friday, November 30, after which time it will be available to subscribers only. Click HERE to learn more about subscribing.

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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers

Natural Gas & Oil See Small Bounces After Last Week's Sell-Offs; Warmer-Than-Normal Temperatures Still Look Likely For August & Should Support Natural Gas--If Not Support A Sustainable Rally; Eastern Cooldown & Decline In LNG Feedgas Demand To Drive Gas Demand To 1-Week Low Today

Chart Of The Day

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Tuesday, July 23, 2019
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.

In the wake of last week's relentless selling, both oil and natural gas found their footing to start the new week. Natural gas rose 6 cents or 2.7% to $2.31/MMBTU, its largest single-session gain since July 5. The rally was driven by a near-term temperature outlook that trended warmer for early August over the weekend, curtailing the impacts of this week's abrupt cooldown. Meanwhile, WTI added 59 cents or 1.1% to settle at $56.22/barrel, following last week's 7.6% sell-off. The front-month August 2019 contract expired at the close of trading and will be replaced by the September 2019 contract today, which settled Monday at up 46 cents to an identical $56.22/barrel. Brent rose a slightly stronger 79 cents to $63.26/barrel. Oil was likely bolstered on Monday by building geopolitical tension across the Straight of Hormuz in the Middle East after Iran seized a British tanker. Meanwhile, my Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio recovered some from its own poor showing last week, gaining +0.9% on Monday...

Continue Reading Full Article (FOR SUBSCRIBERS)...

Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Monday, July 22, 2019
Natural Gas & Oil Both Attractively Undervalued For The Aggressive Investor After Exaggerated Losses Last Week; Natural Gas Demand To Fall Sharply Today As Long-Advertised Cooldown Arrives To Crush Powerburn, But Duration Of Pattern Shift Looks Short-Lived; LNG Feedgas Demand Reaches New Record Daily High

Wednesday, July 17, 2019
Natural Gas Rout Continues As July & Early August Temperature Outlook Trends Cooler; Volatility Soars By Summertime Standards Presenting A Challenging, But Opportunistic Trading Environment; EIA Expected To Announce A Bearish Petroleum Status Report Today Led By Big Builds In Refined Products; Heatwave Cranks Up As Powerburn Likely To Set New 2019 High Today

Monday, July 15, 2019
Natural Gas Set To Pull Back As Models Trend Towards Late-July Cooldown, But Commodity Remains Attractive On Any Weakness; Tropical Storm Barry Moves Inland With Negligible Net Impact On Natural Gas LNG exports, Powerburn, Or Production; Natural Gas Demand To Bottom Today Before Temperatures Ramp Up In Widespread, But Short-Lived, Heatwave

Click HERE For Full 30-Day Archive

Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.