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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Bounces On Dip-Buying & Tighter Imbalances; Oil Prices Rise On Geopolitical Concerns Despite Rare Bearish EIA Petroleum Status Report; EIA Projected To Announce Neutral +53 BCF Natural Gas Storage Injection In Today’s Report; Gas Demand To Hold Nearly Steady On Cooler Texas But Warming Midwest; Storage On Track To Top 3000 BCF Today
Thursday, July 3, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices bounced on Wednesday as dip-buyers stepped in and investors eyed tightening supply/demand imbalances. The front-month August 2025 contract jumped 7 cents or 2.1% to settle at $3.49/MMBTU, finishing in the middle of the days’ range. Among ETFs, 1x UNG rose +2.1% while 2x BOIL added +4.5%.
While the rally was likely in part driven by technicals, there were also bullish catalysts at play. As I’ve discussed I previous Commentaries this week, the two that I am eying are LNG exports and powerburn. While finalized exports have consistently fallen short of the impressive early-cycle numbers due to late-cycle revisions, volumes to the Corpus Christi facility have held near record highs as shown in the Figure to the right which, once the kinks at other facilities like Freeport and Corpus Christi are ironed should, should allow total feedgas to approach 16.5 BCF/day, up more than +4 BCF/day year-over-year and within 0.75 BCF/day of all-time highs. This has allowed expor...
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