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Support Celsius Energy & Access Premium Features!
As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Password-protected access to Celsius Energy's oil & natural gas portfolio.
-Daily Commentaries, a 2000-3000 word 5x per week treatise on natural gas fundamentals & trading outlook and strategies
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Advanced Model Page ***NEW!***
A new page integrating data from multiple models to generate gas-weighted degree day (GWDD) forecasts for the next 44 days. This page will be available to all through Friday, November 30, after which time it will be available to subscribers only. Click HERE to learn more about subscribing.
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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Sell-Off Continues As Temperatures Warm Nationwide; Crude Oil Erases Gains After EIA Reports Much Smaller-Than-Expected Decline In Inventories; EIA Projected To Announce A Neutral -82 Storage Withdrawal In Today's Report; Gas Demand To Fall For A Fourth Straight Day Today With Single-Digit Daily Draw Expected
Thursday, December 13, 2018
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices tumbled for a second straight session on Tuesday as the near-term temperature forecast came into greater focus--and it wasn't a pretty one for the bulls. The commodity slid 28 cents or 6.2% to settle at $4.14/MMBTU, the lowest close for the front-month contract since November 15. While there remains the threat for shots of below-average temperatures around Christmas, the overall trend in the computer models over the past 24-48 hours has been to push back the timing of any such cool-down and to decrease the magnitude of arctic air. It is clear that, unlike in November and early December when the pattern was dominated by a sharp trough with transient warming, the last two weeks plus of 2018 will be dominated by a strong ridge with only transient troughing. The Figure to the right plots the 14-day gas-weighted degree day trend of the GFS and ECMWF short-term models which shows that, while the ECMWF has been the consistently colder of the two, both models have been consistently...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
