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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


Crude Oil Dips After Bearish Inventory Build As Imports Rebound While Natural Gas Holds Onto Small Gains As Near-Term Temperature Outlook Cools; EIA Projected To Announce Bearish +90 BCF Natural Gas Storage Injection In Today's Report

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Thursday, April 25, 2019
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


In its weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week of April 13-19, the EIA announced Wednesday morning that inventories rose by +5.4 MMbbls. While this was shy of the American Petroleum Institute's (API's) forecast of a +6.8 MMbbl build, it was still quite bearish versus the 5-year average +1.9 MMbbls. With the build, storage levels rose to 460.6 MMbbls, the highest since October 6, 2017. Inventories continue toe the line between surplus and deficit versus the 5-year average and last week's deficit flipped back to a +3.0 MMbbl surplus. Levels are at a more sizable +30.9 MMbbl surplus compared to the same week last year.


The primary driver of this week's bearish build versus last week's surprise drawdown was a sharp rise in imports. Imports rose by nearly 1.2 MMbbls week-over-week to 7.15 MMbbls/day, the highest since February but, as the Figure to the right shows, a steep 1.3 MMbbls/day lower compared to 2018. Nonetheless, this amounts to an 8.4 MMbbl weekly increase in supply ...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Tuesday, April 23, 2019
Natural Gas Bounces Off 3-Year Lows On Cooling Near-Term Temperature Outlook While Oil Soars To New Highs On Expiration Of Iranian Import Waivers; Gas Demand To Remain Well Below-Average Today As Triple Digit Weekly Build Remains On Track; Growth In LNG Demand Countered By Lackluster Nuclear Maintenance Season


Monday, April 22, 2019
Natural Gas Falls To 3-Year Low, But Is Ready For A Deadcat Bounce; Gas Demand To Fall To 2019-Low Today As Seasonal Temperatures Dominate The Lower 48; Largest Weekly Injection Since 2015 Expected This Week Amidst Entrenched Bearish Temperature Pattern & Loosening Supply/Demand Imbalance


Thursday, April 18, 2019
Natural Gas Falls To Near 3-Year Low As Loose Market & Bearish Weather Outlook Leaves Bears Unchecked; Crude Oil Dips Despite Bullish Inventory Drawdown As Refinery Demand Still Lags (For Now); EIA Projected To Announce Bearish +89 BCF Natural Gas Inventory Build In Today's Storage Report


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Crude Oil Storage

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