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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Rallies After Solid EIA Storage Report Suggests Tightening Supply/Demand Imbalances; Waiting On Hotter Temperatures & Stronger Exports For Futures Prices To Top $3/MMBTU; Gas Demand To Fall Slightly Today & This Weekend Before Rising Next Week As Early-Season Heat Wave Visits I-95 Corridor; Storage Surplus To Hold Near +150 BCF Into Early June
Friday, May 15, 2026
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for May 2-8, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +85 BCF. This was a neutral 1 BCF larger than the 5-year average and was 1 BCF smaller than my projection. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the injection averaged 1.2 BCF/day or 8 BCF/week tight, or bullish, versus the 5-year average, similar to last week. This means that slightly favorable imbalances cancelled out slightly bearish weather to lead to the nearly neutral overall injection. With the +85 BCF build, natural gas inventories rose to 2290 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average inched slightly higher to +140 BCF. The year-over-year surplus fell by 24 BCF to +51 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, storage levels remain at the second highs level for the week in the last 5 years, though far below 2024’s 5-year high and just above 2025 and 2023 for third and fourth place, respectively.
The small Pacific and Mountain Regions registered bullish inj...
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