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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers

Natural Gas Fades Despite Larger-Than-Expected EIA-Reported Storage Withdrawal On Moderating Temperature Outlook But Tightening Supply/Demand Imbalance Will Limit Losses; End Of Season Storage Nadir Targeting The 5-Year Average & Modest Year-Over-Year Deficit

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Friday, January 15, 2021
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.

In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for January 2-8, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories fell by -134 BCF. While still 27 BCF bearish vs the 5-yr avg, it was a solid 7 BCF larger than my -127 BCF projection. With the draw, inventories fell to -3196 BCF while the storage surplus versus the 5-year average widened to +218 BCF or +7%. All 5 storage regions saw bearish withdrawals, led by the South Central Region whose -37 BCF draw was 8 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average. However, while the East Region’s -39 BCF withdrawal was 5 BCF smaller than the 5-year average, it did come in larger than last year and was sufficient to flip the region to a -1 BCF year-over-year deficit, the first time that any region has seen a year-over-year deficit in more than 18 months. Through the first nine weeks of the traditional heating season, natural gas inventories have decreased by a total of -731 BCF. While this is still +155 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average, it would actually...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, January 14, 2021
Natural Gas Eases Lower In Choppy Trading Session As Late January Arctic Threat Remains In Question; EIA Projected To Announce Bearish -127 BCF Weekly Storage Withdrawal In Today’s Report; Gas Demand To Continue Slump Today As Unseasonably Mild Temperatures Dominate Lower 48

Wednesday, January 13, 2021
Natural Gas Gives Up Early Gains As Models Flip-Flop Away From Arctic Outbreak (Again), But E&Ps Surge On Solid Fundamentals; Oil Prices Rise To 9-Month Highs Ahead Of Today’s Expected Bullish EIA Petroleum Status Report; Gas Demand To Slump Today As Excessive Warmth Dominates The Northern Tier

Tuesday, January 12, 2021
Natural Gas Reverses Sharply On Monday To Extend 2021 Hot Streak As 10-15 Day Outlook Trends Colder & Global Gas Prices Spike; Gas Demand To Begin Multi-Day Decline Today As Cold Air Retreats Across The Gulf Of Mexico & Northern Warmth Expands Southeastward; Realtime Inventories To Fall Below 3100 BCF Today, Now Trailing 2020 By Less Than A Week

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