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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Extends Gains On Hotter Temperatures & Dip In Production, But Don’t Expect A Major Rally Here; Oil Prices Charge To 4-Month Highs On Escalating Middle East Conflict; USO Reaches 11+ Year High; EIA Expected To Announce Bearish Crude Oil Inventory Build In Today’s Petroleum Status Report; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today As Heat Persists Across The Deep South
Wednesday, September 16, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas rose again on Tuesday due to the combination of surging oil prices, a slight increase in forecast cooling demand, and falling production. The front-month October 2026 contract retreated from intraday highs but still finished with a 2 cent or 0.8% gain to $2.92/MMBTU. It was the highest settlement since September 4. Due to additional gains after the 2:30 PM ET close of floor trading, natural gas ETFs outperformed with 1x UNG rising +2.0% and 2x BOIL adding +2.6%.
Prices may have received some modest support from a hotter mid-to-late September outlook. As of Tuesday evening, my Consensus Model—which integrates a performance-based average of GFS OP, GFS ENS, and ECWMF ENS data—was calling for 124 Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) for September 16-29, +5.0 GWDDs greater than the 5-year average and the second most for the period in the last 5 years, just below 2022’s 130 GWDD 5-year maximum. This is around 3 GWDDs higher than Monday and an improvement from third most to s...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
