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Monday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Prices Retreat On Friday But Still Log Big Weekly Gain On Production Drop & Better-Than-Expected EIA Storage Report; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today As Deep South Heat Lingers; Shoulder Season Temperature Pattern On The Way
Monday, September 28, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices pulled back on Friday to wrap up a volatile week on a bearish note, one day after surging to a multi-month high. The front-month October 2026 contract retreated by 10 cents or 3.1% to settle at $3.20/MMBTU. Among ETFs, 1x UNG shed -3.6% while 2x BOIL dropped -7.3%. However, driven largely by a nearly 10% spike on Thursday, the commodity still finished the week up 9.7%. Of note, the October contract will expire at the close of trading today and will be replaced by the November contract, which closed Friday at $3.23/MMBTU.
Last week’s rally was fueled largely by lower production. Early-week gains were driven by a modest pullback in production from early-September highs. However, on Thursday, an unexpected outage on the Columbia Gas Pipeline in the Appalachians cut output by an additional 2 BCF/day to around 108 BCF/day, trimming the year-over-year gain from nearly 4 BCF/day to under 2 BCF/day, as shown in the Figure to the right. Over the weekend, production st...
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