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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Prices Drop For A Second Straight Day On LNG Export Stumble; Early-To-Mid June Temperature Outlook Remains Supportive Which Will Limit Losses; Oil Prices Rise On Stalled Middle East Peace Prospects; EIA Expected To Announce Another Big Crude Oil Inventory Drawdown In Today’s Petroleum Status Report; Gas Demand To Drop Today As Deep South Cools Further
Wednesday, June 3, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices bucked the broader energy sector for a second straight session to finish to with a small loss on Tuesday. The front-month July 2026 contract settled down 1 cent or 0.3% at $3.17/MMBTU after trading as low as $3.10/MMBTU early. Among ETFs, 1x UNG dropped -0.6% while 2x BOIL fell -1.2%.
The near-term temperature outlook was little-changed on Tuesday with temperatures expected to trend hotter and Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) higher over the next 7-10 days. As of early Wednesday morning, my Consensus Model—which integrates a performance-based average of GFS OP, GFS ENS, and ECWMF ENS data—was calling for a solid 137 GWDDs for June 3-16, similar to the previous day and the second most for the period in the last 5 years, behind only 2022’s 141 GWDDs.
On the other hand, I expect that natural gas prices were pressured lower by LNG feedgas demand, which has slumped over the past few days. As shown in the Figure to the right, volumes have dropped from a pea...
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