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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Tumbles After EIA Reports Triple Digit Storage Injection Even As Near-Term Temperature Outlook Trends More Supportive; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today As Cooler Air Spreads Eastwards Across The Northern Tier; Bearish Injection Still Expected This Week With More Seasonal Build Next Week As More Consistent Chill Boosts Late-Season Heating Demand
Friday, April 24, 2026
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for April 11-17, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +103 BCF. This was 5 BCF larger than my +98 BCF projection and 39 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average. It was far and away a 5-year high for the week, easily topping 2024’s +80 BCF in second-to-last place. On a temperature-adjusted basis, supply/demand imbalances tightened after the previous week’s Easter-impacted losses but still averaged -0.9 BCF/day or around 6 BCF/week loose versus the 5-year average. This means that, of the week’s 39 BCF of bearishness, 6 BCF was due to fundamentals and the remaining 33 were due to temperature.
Of note, the EIA did revise previous storage numbers down by 10 BCF such that the actual net increase for the week was “only” +93 BCF.
Regardless, with the injection and revision, natural gas inventories rose to 2063 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average widened to +137 BCF. The year-over-year surplus jumped to +1...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
