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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


Hard Not To Be Bullish Here: Natural Gas Stages Fierce Rally After EIA Reports Smaller-Than-Expected Storage Injection; Temperature-Independent Supply/Demand Imbalance Tightens To 2020 High Heading Into The Heating Season; Gas Demand Set To Rise Today As Northeast Finally Cools Down; LNG Export Demand To Reach New All-Time High Today

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Friday, October 30, 2020
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


In what could be the final weekly natural gas storage withdrawal of 2020, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +29 BCF. This was 6 BCF smaller than my projection and a robust 38 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to a likely seasonal peak of 3955 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed to +289 BCF. Through the full 31 weeks of the 2020 injection season, natural gas inventories have risen by +1969 BCF, 596 BCF smaller than last year and 18 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average—the first time all season that the accumulated seasonal injection has been bullish. Four out of the five storage regions saw bullish weekly injections led, once again, by the South Central Region at a flat +0 BCF versus the 5-year average +28 BCF. As a result, the South Central surplus versus the 5-year average has continued to rapidly contract, falling to +157 BCF or +13%. While this is still the largest surplus of any region...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, October 29, 2020
EIA Projected To Announce Very Bullish +35 BCF Natural Gas Inventory Build In Today’s Weekly Storage Report In What May Be The Last Weekly Injection Of The Season; Gas Demand To Rise Today With Another Daily Withdrawal Expected On New England Cooldown; Year-Over-Year Supply/Demand Imbalance To Reach 2020 High Today On Soft Production & Near-Record LNG Exports


Wednesday, October 28, 2020
December Natural Gas Rallies Ahead Of November Expiration As Investors Eye Volatile November Temperature Outlook; Consolidation Continues In The Natural Gas Sector As EQT Buys Chevron’s Gas Assets To Boost Its Status As Leading Producer; EIA Expected To Announce Bearish Crude Oil Inventory Build In This Week’s Petroleum Status Report; Gas Demand To Rebound Today As Central US Warms & Zeta Makes Landfall


Tuesday, October 27, 2020
Natural Gas Rallies Despite Equities Sell-Off & Warming November Temperature Outlook As Investors Focus On Strong LNG Demand & Falling Storage Levels; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today As Record Cold & Remarkable Texas Winter Storm Drive Another Early Daily Storage Withdrawal; Natural Gas Production To Fall To 3-Week Low Today On Gulf Shut-Ins As Hurricane Zeta Approaches


Click HERE For Full 30-Day Archive




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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

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Crude Oil Storage

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