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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Scrapes Out Small Gain After Record EIA Storage Withdrawal; Gas Prices Undervalued But May Face Near-Term Headwinds Due To Milder Mid-February Temperature Outlook; Natural Gas Demand To Fall Today Ahead Of One More Shot Of Arctic Air This Weekend
Friday, February 6, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for January 24-30, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories fell by -360 BCF. This was a massive 170 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average but did come in 13 BCF below my -373 BCF projection. It also set the record for the single largest withdrawal for any week, but only by a hair, topping the -359 BCF from the week ending January 5, 2018. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the withdrawal averaged 0.8 BCF/day tight, or bullish, versus the 5-year average, which is the tightest in the past 8 weeks. This means that roughly 6 BCF of the 170 BCFs of bullishness was due to supply/demand fundamentals with the vast majority due to colder-than-normal temperatures. While production freeze-offs dramatically cut supply, this was largely offset by gains in imports and declines in LNG exports to keep imbalances only modestly tight. With the withdrawal, natural gas inventories dropped to 2463 BCF while the storage surplus versus the 5-year average fl...
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