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Monday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Fades Friday Afternoon But Still Rises To Fresh Four-Month Highs On Stronger LNG Export Demand & Hotter June Temperature Outlook; Natural Gas Expensive, But Sustainable, At Current Levels; Gas Demand To Rise Today On Hotter South Central; Inventories Likely To Flip To Year-Over-Year Deficit By Mid-Week
Monday, June 1, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices faded from early-session highs on Friday but still wrapped up the week with a small gain, the commodity’s third straight. After trading as high as $3.39/MMBTU early, the front-month July 2026 contract finished up less than a penny or 0.2% at $3.29/MMBTU. This was still good enough for the highest close since February 6. Among ETFs, 1x UNG rose by +0.3% while 2x BOIL added 0.4%. Despite the lackluster finish, the front-month natural gas contract still finished the week up +13.2%, though much of this gain was due to the mid-week expiration of the June contract at a steep discount to July contract. The July contract itself rose a respectable +8.9% on the week.
Last week’s rally was driven largely by optimism regarding the early-to-mid June temperature outlook. This trend continued over the weekend and will impact near-term sentiment to start June. As shown in the National Weather Service’s 8-14 day temperature outlook in the Figure to the right, hotter-than-norm...
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