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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Oil Prices Rise After Bullish EIA Status Report As Crude Inventories Flip To Year-Over-Year Storage Deficit On Tightening Supply/Demand Imbalance; Natural Gas Fades Into The Afternoon & Snaps 5-Session Winning Streak; EIA Projected To Announce Bearish +60 BCF Weekly Storage Injection In Today’s Report; Gas Demand To Rise Today With Bullish Daily Storage Build Expected Thanks To Chilly Lower 48, Beginning a Streak Of 10+ Bullish Daily Injections
Thursday, April 15, 2021
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Petroleum Status Report for April 3-9, the EIA reported Wednesday morning that crude oil inventories fell by -5.9 MMbbls. This was solidly above Tuesday’s American Petroleum Institute (API) expectation of a -3.6 MMbbbl draw and a steep 11.0 MMbbls bullish versus the 5-year average +5.1 MMbbl build. It was the largest draw since a -7.2 MMbbl decline back on February 6-12. With the drawdown, crude oil inventories fell to 492.4 MMbbls while the storage surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed to just +7.2 MMbbls. The long-standing year-over-year surplus flipped to a -11.2 MMbbl deficit for the first time in over a year. Additionally, the EIA reported that gasoline inventories rose by +0.3 MMbbls, slightly bearish versus the 5-year average -0.6 MMbbl draw, but well below the API’s +5.6 MMbbl expectation. Finally, distillates fell by -2.0 MMbbls, slightly below the API’s -3.0 MMbbls, but still solidly bullish versus the 5-year average +0.6 MMbbls. All-told, Total Petroleum ...
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