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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Prices Generally Rise On Tuesday Ahead Of Today’s Front-Month Expiration, But Gains are Vulnerable And Dependent On Evolving November Temperature Outlook; Oil Falls For A Second Session On Profit-Taking; EIA Expected To Announce Bullish Crude Drawdown But Overall Netural Status Report; Gas Demand To Retreat Today Thanks To Unseasonably Mild Heartland
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Front-month natural gas prices rallied on Tuesday asFront-month natural gas prices rallied on Tuesday as investors responded to a potentially cooler second week of November and recovering LNG export demand. In thin trading, the front-month November 2026 contract jumped 10 cents or 3.7% to settle at $2.70/MMBTU. The contract will expire at the close of trading today and will be replaced by the most actively traded December 2026 contract. That contract actually dipped by -0.6% to $3.00/MMBTU. The 1x ETF UNG which holds December contracts, rose by +0.8% due to some post-2:30 gains. The T+2 January 2027 contract, meanwhile, fell by -1.5% which drove the 2x ETF BOIL’s -2.2% loss. investors responded to a potentially cooler second week of November and recovering LNG export demand. In addition to pre-expiration shenanigans on an illiquid contract, I suspect that yesterday’s front-month rally was first and forecast driven by continued signs that Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) could finally s...
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