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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Futures Fall After Holiday Weekend On Volatile Temperature Outlook & Higher Production; Storage Deficit Projected To Persist—But Just Barely; Gas Demand To Fall Today As Record Warmth Across The Heartland Expands; Withdrawals To Bottom Out Tomorrow Before Sharp Late-Week Recovery
Tuesday, February 17, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices rose slightly on Friday to wrap up an otherwise bearish week on a positive note. The front-month March 2026 contract rose by 3 cents or 0.8% to settle at $3.24/MMBTU. Among ETFs, 1x UNG (which is rolling into April contracts) rose +0.1% while 2x BOIL (which holds May contracts) lost -0.2%. Despite Friday’s gain, natural gas prices fell sharply on the week, shedding -5.2%.
These losses look to continue into the holiday-shortened week. Over the weekend, the near-term temperature outlook continued to trend generally milder. As a result, when electronic futures trading re-opened on Sunday evening, prices fell as much as -7% to under $3/MMBTU. The commodity clawed back nearly half of these losses Monday afternoon to enter the overnight hours back above $3.10/MMBTU.
The near-term outlook is complex and volatile. Record-setting warmth early this week will quickly pivot to a rapid influx of modified arctic air later this week and over the weekend, including a...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
