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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Pares Gains Despite Better-Than-Expected EIA Storage Injection; South Central Region Flips To A Deficit Versus The 5-Year Average; Gas Demand To Hold Nearly Steady Today As Southern Heat Dome Continues; Very Bullish Injection Expected This Week Before More Seasonable Conditions Finally Arrive Next Week
Friday, September 18, 2026
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for September 5-11, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +44 BCF. This was an impressive 30 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average and 3 BCF smaller than my +47 BCF projection. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the injection averaged 1.4 BCF/day loose, or bearish versus the 5-year average. This means that, if imbalances had been neutral, the injection would have been around 10 BCF (1.4 BCF/day x 7 day) smaller, or around +34 BCF. However, imbalances did tighten considerably from the previous week’s -2.6 BCF/day loose due to a drop in wind generation. Still, higher production continues to weigh on imbalances. With the +44 BCF injection, natural gas inventories rose to 3298 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed to +118 BCF. The year-over-year deficit jumped to -122 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, inventories remain at the third highest level for the week in the last 5 years. However, storage is ju...
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