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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Surges To Nearly 4-Month Highs After In-Line EIA Storage Injection But Hotter Early-To-Mid June Temperature Outlook; Oil Prices Fade Despite Very Bullish EIA Status Report On New Of Potential Iran Deal; Gas Demand To Hold Nearly Steady Today With Triple Digit Injection Expected This Week; Gas Demand To Slowly Rise Into Early June As Heat Builds Across The Central US; Year-Over-Year Deficit Likely By Next Week
Friday, May 29, 2026
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for May 16-22, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +92 BCF. This was a slight 5 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average and 1 BCF larger than my +91 BCF projection. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the build was slightly tighter than last week, averaging -1.1 BCF/day loose, or bearish, versus the 5-year average due largely to decreased LNG exports and strong wind generation. With the +92 BCF injection, natural gas inventories rose to 2483 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed to +144 BCF. The year-over-year surplus fell by 12 BCF to +21 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, natural gas inventories remain at the second highest level for the week in the last 5 years, though well below 2024’s 5-year maximum and just above both 2025 and 2023 in third and fourth places.
Fourth out of the five storage regions registered bullish injections, with only the cooler Midwest lagging with a +34 BCF injectio...
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