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Monday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Prices Finish With Small Weekly Gain To Snap Six-Week Losing Streak; Temperature Outlook Remains Hot While European Storage Closes In On 5-Year Minimum, But Robust Domestic Inventories & Near-Record Production Continue To Weigh On Sentiment; Gas Demand To Rise Today As Temperatures Moderate Across The Northeast
Monday, August 17, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices inched upwards on Friday to finish the week up on a slightly positive note. The front-month September 2026 contract rose by 1 cent or 0.2% to settle at $2.73/MMBTU. On the week, the contract finished with a modest 2.7% gain, snapping a six-week losing streak. Among ETFs, 1x UNG dropped by -0.5% while 2x BOIL shed 1.3%. Both underperformed due to some selling pressure after the 2:30 PM ET close of floor trading. On Thursday, BOIL completed its bimonthly rollover into T+2 November contracts. The same day, UNG began its monthly rollover from September to October contracts. As of Friday evening, the fund held 50% of its funds in September and 50% in October contracts. This rollover will conclude tomorrow. It will be a relatively neutral rollover due to the similar pricing between the two contracts.
Natural gas finds itself stuck between bullish and bearish catalysts. On the bullish side, the near-term temperature outlook remains generally hotter-than-normal and s...
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