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Monday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Rallies On Friday But Could Face Selling Pressure To Start The Week After US-Iran Peace Deal & Cooler Mid-To-Late July Temperature Outlook; LNG Export Demand Rises To Six-Week High On Rising Golden Pass Volumes; UNG Begins Monthly Rollover; Gas Demand To Fall Today As Cooler Conditions Push Eastward
Monday, June 15, 2026
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Natural gas prices rebounded on Friday one day after a disappointing triple digit EIA Storage Report to cut into Thursday’s losses and finish the week off on a strong note. The front-month July 2026 futures contract rose by 3 cents or 1.1% to settle at $3.12/MMBTU. Nonetheless, the contract still finished the week with a -3.4% loss, its second straight. Among ETFs, 1x UNG rose by +1.7% while 2x BOIL added +2.5%. On Friday, UNG began its monthly rollover, selling front-month contracts and buying T+1 August contracts. As of Friday evening, the fund held 25% of its holdings in the August contract and will complete the roll on Wednesday. This will be a largely neutral rollover with the August contract less than 2% higher than the July contract (Contango).
Despite Friday’s gain, I suspect natural gas prices will face resistance to open the week. First, I expect the energy sector as a whole to retreat after Sunday’s news of an agreement between the US and Iran that will immediately r...
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