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Monday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Finishes With A Weekly Loss To Snap Four-Week Winning Streak; Late Summer Heat Continues But As Temperature Fades As A Driver For Demand Keep An Eye On LNG Exports; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today Even As Northeast Cools Thanks To Lingering Deep South Heat
Monday, September 14, 2026
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Natural gas prices rallied late in the session on Friday, but still wrapped up the week with a small loss. The front-month October 2026 contract ultimately fell by less than a penny or 0.3% to settle at $2.83/MMBTU. Among ETFs, 1x UNG dropped -0.2% while 2x BOIL shed -0.1%. On the week, the front-month contract dropped by -4.8%, snapping a four-week winning streak. The small pullback came in the wake of a surprising rally on Thursday despite the EIA’s disappointingly loose +40 BCF weekly storage injection. In the near-term, I expect sentiment to be increasingly dictated by these EIA reports as well as supply/demand imbalances as temperature temporarily becomes a less-important driver of demand during the Shoulder Season. As shown in the Figure to the right, the National Weather Service expects broadly warmer-than-normal conditions across nearly the entire Lower 48 through September 27. However, by this point, even highs 10F-15F above-average across the Northern Half of the nation are n...
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