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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Rises As Investors Eye Weaker Supply; 1x ETF UNG Begins Monthly Rollover; Choppy, Rangebound Trading To Continue, But Watch Out For Early Season Heat And A Recovery In LNG Exports; Oil Falls Despite Bullish EIA Petroleum Status Report; EIA Projected To Announce Neutral +86 BCF Natural Gas Storage Injection Today; Gas Demand To Hold Nearly Steady Today
Thursday, May 14, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Choppy, sideways trading continued in the natural gas sector on Wednesday. The front-month June 2026 contract rose 2 cents or 0.7% to settle at $2.86/MMBTU, recouping about a third of Tuesday’s losses. The contract has not seen consecutive days of gains or losses since May 5-6. Additionally, the choppy trading has also manifested with small day-to-day moves with 10-day volatility averaging just +/-2.3% per day, well below last year’s +/-3% per day and in the 36th percentile versus the past 52 weeks. Among natural gas ETFs, 1x UNG added +0.6% while 2x BOIL—which holds less volatile July 2026 contracts--rose +0.5%. Speaking of which, 1x UNG did begin its monthly rollover yesterday, selling front-month June contracts and buying T+1 July contracts. As of Wednesday evening, the fund held 24% of its futures holdings in the July contract and will conclude the rollover by next Monday. Due to the steep contango between the June ($2.86/MMBTU) and July ($3.07/MMBTU) contracts, this will be a bear...
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