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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Stabilizes After Sell-Off As Investors Eye February Temperature Outlook & Season-Ending Storage Minimum; Oil Rallies On Iranian Tensions; EIA Expected To Announce Bullish Arctic-Fueled Petroleum Status Report Today; Gas Demand To Rise Today As Quick-Hitting Shot Of Arctic Air Races Into The Ohio Valley & Northeast
Wednesday, February 4, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
One day after an historic sell-off, natural gas prices steadied the ship in a much calmer session on Tuesday. The front-month March 2026 contract ultimately closed up 7 cents or 2.3% at $3.11/MMBTU, still barely putting a dent in the previous day’s -25% haircut. Among ETFs, 1x UNG added 2.2% while 2x BOIL rose +4.8%. Amidst all the volatility, natural gas ETFs have done a fine job tracking their underlying futures contract.
There was no major change to the near-term narrative on Tuesday and the move was likely related to dip-buying and an oversold bounce. The early-to-mid February temperature outlook, if anything, trended slightly milder. This is reflected in the ECWMF and GFS models’ 14-day accumulated Gas-Weighted Degree Day (GWDD) trend which has shown a frustratingly linear downward trend with both models dropping below the 5-year average, as shown in the Figure to the right. As of Tuesday evening, my Consensus Model—which integrates a performance-based average of GFS OP, G...
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