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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Rallies Despite First Bearish Storage Injection Since June On Potential October Pattern Shift & Tighter Supply/Demand Imbalances; November Futures Contract Still Slightly Undervalued But Upside May Be Limited Near-Term; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today As Hot Heartland Countered By Northeast Washout; Seasonable Storage Injections Expected Into October, But Year-Over-Year Surplus Likely To Narrow Sharply
Friday, September 29, 2023
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for September 16-22, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +90 BCF. This was a slight 6 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average—the first bearish report since June 30—and came in just 1 BCF above my +89 BCF projection. Each of the storage regions saw builds at or above their respective 5-year averages—though none was more than 4 BCF bearish. On the bearish side, the Pacific Region led the way with a +8 BCF injection, double its 5-year average. As a result, the Region saw its deficit versus the 5-year average flip to a +2 BCF surplus for the first time this year. At the end of the Winter withdrawal season, this deficit exceeded -75 BCF. On the other hand, the Midwest Region, at +31 BCF, came in right at its 5-year average while the East (+28 BCF) and South Central (+18 BCF) were just 1 BCF bearish each. All five storage regions are now at surpluses versus the 5-year average, although the distribution of this surplus gas is ra...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
