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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers

Natural Gas Rallies Despite First Bearish Storage Injection Since June On Potential October Pattern Shift & Tighter Supply/Demand Imbalances; November Futures Contract Still Slightly Undervalued But Upside May Be Limited Near-Term; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today As Hot Heartland Countered By Northeast Washout; Seasonable Storage Injections Expected Into October, But Year-Over-Year Surplus Likely To Narrow Sharply

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Friday, September 29, 2023
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.

In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for September 16-22, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +90 BCF. This was a slight 6 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average—the first bearish report since June 30—and came in just 1 BCF above my +89 BCF projection. Each of the storage regions saw builds at or above their respective 5-year averages—though none was more than 4 BCF bearish. On the bearish side, the Pacific Region led the way with a +8 BCF injection, double its 5-year average. As a result, the Region saw its deficit versus the 5-year average flip to a +2 BCF surplus for the first time this year. At the end of the Winter withdrawal season, this deficit exceeded -75 BCF. On the other hand, the Midwest Region, at +31 BCF, came in right at its 5-year average while the East (+28 BCF) and South Central (+18 BCF) were just 1 BCF bearish each. All five storage regions are now at surpluses versus the 5-year average, although the distribution of this surplus gas is ra...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, September 28, 2023
October Natural Gas Expires On A High Note As Higher Exports & Tighter Supply/Demand Imbalances Trump Bearish October Temperature Outlook (At Least For A Day); Oil Prices Rise After Better-Than-Expected EIA Petroleum Status Report; EIA Projected To Announce Slightly Bearish +89 BCF Injection In Today’s Natural Gas Storage Report

Wednesday, September 27, 2023
October Natural Gas Futures Prices Rise But The More Active Winter Contracts Drop As Forecast Early-To-Mid October Warmth Raises Demand Concerns & LNG Export Demand Falls; Oil Prices Stage Late-Session Rally; EIA Expected To Announce Neutral Crude Inventory Build In Today’s Status Report; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today As Hot Heartland Continues To Support Robust Cooling Demand

Tuesday, September 26, 2023
Natural Gas Trades Sideways As Tighter Supply/Demand Imbalances & Higher European Prices Counter Soft Early October Demand Outlook; Gas Demand Set To Edge Higher Today As Deep South Heat & Light Winds Bolster Late-Season Cooling Demand

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The Advanced Modeling Page integrates data from multiple models to generate gas-weighted degree day (GWDD) forecasts for the next 44 days and is available to subscribers. Click HERE to learn more about subscribing.

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Intraday Temperature Data

Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.