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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Prices Short Squeeze To One-Month Highs On Record LNG Export Demand & Colder Mid-To-Late November Temperature Outlook; Is The Injection Season Going To End On Schedule After All? Gas Demand To Drop Today As Temperatures Warm East Of The Rockies
Tuesday, November 10, 2026
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Natural gas prices surged on Monday, buoyed by the 1-2 punch of record LNG export demand and a cooler mid-to-late November temperature outlook. The front-month December 2026 contract jumped by 22 cents or 7.3% to settle at $3.22/MMBTU. It was the highest close for the front-month contract since October 15. Among ETFs, 1x UNG jumped 7.8% while 2x BOIL, which holds less volatile January 2027 contracts, gained +10.5%.
In addition to LNG export demand topping 20 BCF/day for the first time over the weekend as I detailed in yesterday’s Commentary, buyers also cheered a modest cooldown in the 2-week temperature outlook. Based on the latest model data, the coming cold shot later this week now looks to be slightly chillier and, more significantly, the subsequent warm-up next week looks to be delayed and more modest than previously forecast. As a result, I project that daily storage injections will flip to withdrawals by Thursday and will remain draws at least until next Thursday, as sho...
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