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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


Oil Prices Rise After Bullish EIA Status Report As Crude Inventories Flip To Year-Over-Year Storage Deficit On Tightening Supply/Demand Imbalance; Natural Gas Fades Into The Afternoon & Snaps 5-Session Winning Streak; EIA Projected To Announce Bearish +60 BCF Weekly Storage Injection In Today’s Report; Gas Demand To Rise Today With Bullish Daily Storage Build Expected Thanks To Chilly Lower 48, Beginning a Streak Of 10+ Bullish Daily Injections

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Thursday, April 15, 2021
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


In its weekly Petroleum Status Report for April 3-9, the EIA reported Wednesday morning that crude oil inventories fell by -5.9 MMbbls. This was solidly above Tuesday’s American Petroleum Institute (API) expectation of a -3.6 MMbbbl draw and a steep 11.0 MMbbls bullish versus the 5-year average +5.1 MMbbl build. It was the largest draw since a -7.2 MMbbl decline back on February 6-12. With the drawdown, crude oil inventories fell to 492.4 MMbbls while the storage surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed to just +7.2 MMbbls. The long-standing year-over-year surplus flipped to a -11.2 MMbbl deficit for the first time in over a year. Additionally, the EIA reported that gasoline inventories rose by +0.3 MMbbls, slightly bearish versus the 5-year average -0.6 MMbbl draw, but well below the API’s +5.6 MMbbl expectation. Finally, distillates fell by -2.0 MMbbls, slightly below the API’s -3.0 MMbbls, but still solidly bullish versus the 5-year average +0.6 MMbbls. All-told, Total Petroleum ...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Wednesday, April 14, 2021
Natural Gas Rallies For Fifth Day On Prolonged April Cold Snap & Strong Export Demand Even As Overvaluation Versus Fair Price Grows While Oil Prices Inch Closer To A Breakout; EIA Expected To Announce Bullish Crude Oil Inventory Drawdown Today With Storage Likely To Flip To A Year-Over-Year Deficit; Gas Demand To Rise Today On Chilly Great Plains With A Near-Average Storage Injection Projected


Tuesday, April 13, 2021
Natural Gas Rises For 4th Straight Session On Weekend Cooldown & Strong Natural Gas Exports—Though Prices Are Only 10 Cents Off Their 2021 Lows; Gas Demand To Rise Today As Unseasonably Chilly Temperatures Expand Across The Heartland


Monday, April 12, 2021
Natural Gas Rises To End The Week As Near-Term Upside Outweighs Downside Risk On Mid-April Cold Snap & Tightening Supply/Demand Imbalance; Celsius Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio Records Weekly Loss On E&P Pullback—Here’s Why; Gas Demand To Rise Today And Then Again Tomorrow As Much Colder Conditions Spread East--But Such A Pattern Isn’t What It Would Be In January


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