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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Domestic & Global Natural Gas Prices Rally On Ras Laffan Fallout; EIA Announces First Storage Injection Of The Season; Natural Gas Undervalued, But Domestic Catalysts Meager For Now; Gas Demand To Fall Again Today As Historic Heat Dome Expands Eastward; Weekly Storage Withdrawals Return This Week After Mid-Week Arctic Outbreak, But Storage Likely Reaching Its Seasonal Minimum
Friday, March 20, 2026
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for March 7-13, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +35 BCF. This was 5 BCF larger than my projection and 64 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average. It was, by far, the largest injection for the week in the last 5 years. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the build averaged -0.3 BCF/day loose, or bearish, versus the 5-year average, the weakest imbalance in the past month. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 1883 BCF while the deficit versus the 5-year average flipped back to a +47 BCF surplus. The year-over-year surplus jumped to +177 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, inventories remain the third highest for the week in the last 5 years, but are rapidly encroaching on 2023, but should remain below it at least for the next few weeks.
Three out of the five storage regions saw weekly injections, though all five regions registered bearish numbers. The South Central Region saw the largest absolute ...
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