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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Fades Despite Larger-Than-Expected EIA-Reported Storage Withdrawal On Moderating Temperature Outlook But Tightening Supply/Demand Imbalance Will Limit Losses; End Of Season Storage Nadir Targeting The 5-Year Average & Modest Year-Over-Year Deficit
Friday, January 15, 2021 This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE. In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for January 2-8, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories fell by -134 BCF. While still 27 BCF bearish vs the 5-yr avg, it was a solid 7 BCF larger than my -127 BCF projection. With the draw, inventories fell to -3196 BCF while the storage surplus versus the 5-year average widened to +218 BCF or +7%. All 5 storage regions saw bearish withdrawals, led by the South Central Region whose -37 BCF draw was 8 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average. However, while the East Region’s -39 BCF withdrawal was 5 BCF smaller than the 5-year average, it did come in larger than last year and was sufficient to flip the region to a -1 BCF year-over-year deficit, the first time that any region has seen a year-over-year deficit in more than 18 months. Through the first nine weeks of the traditional heating season, natural gas inventories have decreased by a total of -731 BCF. While this is still +155 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average, it would actually...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.