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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Surges To New 7-Year High While European Prices Spike To All-Time Highs As Energy Crisis Deepens; Oil Prices Rise After The EIA Reports Very Bullish -6.5 MMbbl Crude Oil Drawdown; EIA Expected To Announce Slightly Bullish +72 BCF Injection In Today’s Storage Report; Gas Demand To Drop Today With Near-Average Storage Injection Expected As Northeast Cools
Thursday, September 16, 2021
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Petroleum Status Report for September 4-10, the EIA announced Wednesday morning that crude oil inventories fell by -6.5 MMbbls. This was larger than Tuesday’s American Petroleum Institute (API) expectation and was very bullish versus the 5-year average -0.1 MMbbl. With the draw, crude oil inventories fell to 417.4 MMbbls, the lowest since September 13, 2019. The storage deficit versus the 5-year average widened to -33.7 MMbbls which, after a mid-summer dip, is the highest since July 9. Storage levels are down -78.6 MMbbls versus last year. The bullishness of the drawdown was driven largely by crude oil supplies (imports + production) which, at 15.9 MMbbls, are down more than 2 MMbbls/day from pre-Hurricane Ida levels and essentially back to flat versus last year. This has been enough to counter demand losses due a reduction in refinery input along the Gulf Coast refineries impacted by Ida.
Speaking of refineries, the EIA also reported that gasoline inventories fe...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
