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Other elements on the site are updated on a minute-to-minute basis, providing Realtime data.

These include:

--> Wind Generation & Natural Gas Demand Displacement ***NEW!***

--> Intraday Temperature Data

--> Realtime Natural Gas Inventories

--> Oil & Natural Gas Quotes & Fair Price Data

--> Powerburn Demand

--> Celsius Energy Portfolio Holdings (Subscribers)

...Among others.

Support Celsius Energy & Access Premium Features!

As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
-Advanced weather modeling data
-Access to Celsius Energy's oil & natural gas portfolio.
-Daily natural gas supply & demand data

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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


This Is What A Bull Market Looks Like: Natural Gas Rallies Late On Cooler Near-Term Temperature Outlook Even As Broad Outlook Remains Bearish; EIA Projected To Announce Above-Average +95 BCF Storage Injection Today—But Don’t Be Surprised For The Bulls Shrug Off Bearishness; EIA Also Expected To Announce Bearish Crude Oil Build But Bullish Refined Product Draw In Today’s Delayed Petroleum Status Report

Chart Of The Day

Chart of the Day: Click here for more information on on natural gas investing.


Thursday, October 14, 2021

***For subscribers, the next daily commentary will be published on Monday, October 18. All other data will continue to be updated as scheduled***

This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


This is what a bull market looks like. Natural gas spent much of Wednesday’s trading session in the red but then rallied sharply just before the close to finish near the session’s highs. The front-month November 2021 contract settled up 9 cents or 1.5% at $5.59/MMBTU. The commodity continued to rise after the 2:30 PM EDT close of floor trading to as high as $5.70/MMBTU such that the 1x ETF UNG closed up +3.7% and the 2x ETF BOIL was up +7.3%.

The abrupt rally was driven by a cooldown in both the 12Z runs of the GFS and ECWMF that resulted in each picking 5-10 GWDDs over the next 14 days, as shown in the Figure to the right. However, my Consensus Model—which integrates a performance-based average of GFS OP, GFS ENS, and ECWMF ENS data—is still only calling for 130 14-day accumulated GWDDs, near 5-year lows for October 14-27 even after the cooldown. If natural gas could see such gains with a still bearish temperature outlook and with the commodity so steeply overvalued on a fun...

Continue Reading Full Article (FOR SUBSCRIBERS)...


Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Wednesday, October 13, 2021
Natural Gas Rallies On Dip Buying & Recovering LNG Exports Despite Bearish Near-Term Temperature Outlook & Large Fundamental Overvaluation; WTI Oil Holds Above $80/Barrel While EIA Status Report Is Delayed A Day By Holiday; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today As Powerful Western Storm Brings Snow & Cold To The Rockies & Unseasonable Warmth Out Ahead Of It


Tuesday, October 12, 2021
Natural Gas Whipsaws Before Settling Lower On Bearish Temperature Outlook & Lower European Prices; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today As First Winter Storm Of The Season Gears Up Across The Rockies, But Another Bearish Injection Is Still Likely


Monday, October 11, 2021
Natural Gas Snaps 6-Week Winning Streak, But Could Rebound To Start The Week As Near-Term Models Finally Hint At Cooler Late-October Temperatures; That Said, Natural Gas Remains Steeply Overvalued & The Coming Pullback Will Be Steep & Swift—Just Don’t Try To Time It; Gas Demand To Inch Slightly Lower Today On Balmy Midwest & Great Lakes Even As Season’s First Winter Storm Gears Up


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Intraday Natural Gas Storage Change

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Advanced Model Page

The Advanced Modeling Page integrates data from multiple models to generate gas-weighted degree day (GWDD) forecasts for the next 44 days and is available to subscribers. Click HERE to learn more about subscribing.

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Intraday Temperature Data


Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.