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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Rallies On Friday, But Finishes The Week With Another Big Loss; Natural Gas Long Holdings Continue To Slump, But Building Bearish Dominance Could Set The Stage For A Short Squeeze—But Not Yet; Gas Demand To Rise Today & Then Hold Steady For The Rest Of The Week As Heat Builds Across The South & Heartland Even As The East Remains Cool
Tuesday, July 5, 2022
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas headed into the holiday weekend on a strong note on Friday, bouncing back 31 cents or 5.6% in the wake of Thursday’s historic -16.5% sell-off to close at $5.73/MMBTU. Nonetheless, the commodity still finished the week down a steep -7.9%, the commodity’s third straight weekly loss. During these three weeks, natural gas prices have plunged -32.5%. From its intra-day peak of $9.65/MMBTU on June 8, prices are down a massive -40.6%. Friday’s rally was likely that of an oversold technical bounce. However, investor sentiment may also have been bolstered by strength in LNG export demand, which rose to 11.5 BCF/day, up +0.4 BCF/day year-over-year despite the ongoing shutdown at the Freeport facility. Were this facility operating near its 2.2 BCF/day capacity, total volumes would be very close to all time highs. Over the Holiday weekend, LNG volumes remained robust, averaging 11.1-11.3 BCF/day, consistently higher compared to last year. Otherwise, the near-term temperature outlook re...
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