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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Production, Production, Production: Natural Gas Prices Sell-Off, Then Rebound Sharply On Supply Flip-Flop; UNG Begins Rollover; EIA Expected To Announce Bullish +76 BCF Natural Gas Storage Injection & Very Bullish -11.1 MMbbl Crude Oil Inventory Drawdown In Twin Reports Today; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today
Thursday, October 15, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices pulled back on Wednesday, but a late spike lifted the commodity well off session lows. One day after reaching a new 4+ month high, the front-month October 2026 contract settled down 9 cents or 2.6% at $3.20/MMBTU. However, prices rose sharply just minutes before the close (more on that below). As a result, natural gas ETFs outperformed with 1x UNG falling -1.7% and 2x BOIL, which holds less volatile January 2027 contracts, shedding just -1.5%. Of note, UNG began its monthly rollover on Thursday, selling November contracts to buy T+1 December 2026 contracts. As of the close, the fund holds 23% December contracts. Like BOIL earlier in the week, this will be a bearish rollover long-term due to the contango between the December and November contracts. The rollover will conclude by next Monday.
Gas prices initially sold off on evidence of recovering production, both in the Gulf and elsewhere. Early-cycle data showed output rising to 108.3 BCF/day, up around 1.5 BC...
Continue Reading Full Article (FOR SUBSCRIBERS)...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
