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Monday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Retreats On Friday To Flip Weekly Gain To A Loss; Bearish Late October Temperature Outlook To Weigh On Sentiment, But Record LNG Export Demand Should Blunt The Pain; Gas Demand To Retreat Today As Temperatures Moderate Across The Northern Tier After Weekend Cold Snap
Monday, October 19, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices pulled back on Friday, flipping a small weekly gain to a loss. The front-month November 2026 contract fell by 12 cents or 3.7% to settle at $3.12/MMBTU, the lowest settlement since October 5. Among ETFs, 1x UNG kept pace, losing -3.9%, while 2x BOIL shed -8.6%. UNG continues its monthly rollover and now holds 73% of its holdings in the T+1 December 2026 contract. The fund will complete its rollover today. BOIL already completed its bimonthly roll into T+2 January 2027 contracts earlier in the month. As we approach the expiration of the November contract in the next 7-10 days, don’t be surprised to see UNG and BOIL trend increasingly less volatile than the quoted front-month price. On the week, the front-month contract lost -3.2%.
Gas prices most likely came under pressure on Friday courtesy of a mild late October and early November temperature outlook. Over the past 2-4 weeks, weather has largely taken a backseat to other variables such as production, wind ge...
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