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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
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-Daily natural gas supply & demand data
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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Snaps Losing Streak With Small Gain As April Temperature Forecast Improves Marginally; Oil Prices Can’t Hold Onto Gains Despite Very Bullish EIA Petroleum Status Report; EIA Projected To Announce Bearish +55 BCF Injection In Today’s Natural Gas Storage Report; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today As Hot Mid-Atlantic & Chilly Rockies Can’t Counter Broad Mildness Elsewhere
Thursday, April 16, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices snapped a five-session losing streak of small losses with a small gain on Wednesday. The front-month May 2026 contract rose by 4 cents or 1.1% to settle at $2.61/MMBTU. Among ETFs, 1x UNG rose by +0.2% while 2x BOIL, which holds July 2026 futures, declined by -0.5% to track that contract. UNG continues its monthly rollover from May into June contracts and now holds 49% of the latter. The Fund will complete its roll tomorrow, at which time retail investors will no longer be able to get front-month exposure aside from buying futures contracts.
The stabilization in prices after a nearly 9% decline the previous five sessions comes courtesy of a modest improvement in the near-term temperature outlook. As shown in the Figure to the right, both the GFS and ECWMF models saw modest gains in their 14-day Gas-Weighted Degree Day (GWDD) outlooks, though both remain far below the 5-year average. As of early Thursday morning, my Consensus Model—which integrates a performan...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
