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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Snaps Four-Session Winning Streak On Profit-Taking After Underwhelming EIA Storage Report; Shoulder Season Futures Prices Converge Towards Fair Prices; Gas Demand To Fall This Weekend On Mild Weather Pattern & Hurricane Isaias Before Rising Steadily Next Week On Hot-South-Cooler-North Set-Up
Friday, October 9, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for September 26-October 2, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories climbed by +85 BCF. This was 11 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average but did come in 5 BCF above my +80 BCF projection. On a temperature-adjusted basis, this was a looser injection than the previous week, coming in at 0.7 BCF/day tight, or bullish, versus the 5-year average. A +10% week-over-week increase in wind generation was likely enough to more than counter continued lower production. Nonetheless, this still does mean that 5 BCF or the week’s 11 BCF of bullishness was due to supportive fundamentals with the remainder due to hot temperatures east of the Rockies. With the injection, natural gas inventories climbed to an even 3500 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed to +68 BCF. The year-over-year deficit, on the other hand, weakened by 17 BCF to -130 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, inventories remain at the third highest level for th...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
