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Monday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Gas Demand Rose To Fresh 3+ Month High Last Week As Investors Cheered Lower Production; Upcoming Cold Snap & Higher LNG Exports To Influence Sentiment In The Week Ahead; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today As Late-Season Heat Builds Across The Central US
Monday, October 12, 2026
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Natural gas prices rebounded on Friday to wrap up the week on a strong note. The front-month November 2026 contract rose 5 cents or 1.6% to settle at $3.22/MMBTU, the highest close since July 7. On the week, the front-month contract jumped +6.1%, more than erasing the previous week’s loss. Despite the gain, gas prices remain at the third lowest level for the date in the last 5 year, just above last year’s second-to-last place, as shown in the Figure to the right. Among ETFs, 1x UNG rose +1.9% while 2x BOIL added +3.5%. BOIL continued its bimonthly rollover on Friday and now holds 60% of its futures exposure in T+2 January 2027 contracts. The fund will complete the roll this Tuesday. While this rollover will be long-term bearish for the commodity due to the steep contango between the November and January contracts, the most noticeable impact right now will be a decrease in volatility relative to UNG, something that we did see on Friday. UNG will begin its own monthly rollover into T+1 D...
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