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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Finishes With Small Loss On Tuesday As September Outlook Moderates, But Rallies Sharply Off Intraday Lows As Buyers Stick Around; Edouard Spares Gulf LNG Export Infrastructure; Oil Surges On Renewed US-Iran Strikes; EIA Expected To Announce First Crude Oil Inventory Drawdown In A Month Today, But Surpluses Still Projected To Widen; Gas Demand To Hold Steady As Late-Season Grips Lower 48
Wednesday, September 2, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices rallied sharply off their lows on Tuesday, but still finished the session with a small loss. The front-month October 2026 contract traded as low as $2.85/MMBTU early before ultimately settling down just 3 cents or 1.1% at $2.90/MMBTU. Prices continued their rally after the 2:30 PM ET close of floor trading and, as a result, ETFs outperformed. 1x UNG actually gained +0.4% while 2x BOIL added +1.0%.
The initial pullback on Tuesday morning was likely driven by a moderation in the near-term temperature outlook by mid-September. As shown in the Figure to the right, 14-day accumulated Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) remain well above the 5-year average but have declined by around 20 GWDDs over the past three days. This will curb late-season cooling demand and leave gas prices more dependent on temperature-independent supply/demand imbalances.
There was also concern early in the session that Tropical Storm Edouard may strengthen rapidly into a hurricane bef...
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