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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Prices Fade But Finish In The Black On Monday; Temperature Outlook Neutral To Supportive, But More Is Needed; May Contract Expires Today; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today As Cooler Temperatures Expand Out Of The Northern Plains
Tuesday, April 28, 2026
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Natural gas rose on Monday, but finished well off its highs. After trading as high as $2.63/MMBTU early, the commodity faded into the close, ultimately settling up just 3 cents or 1.1% at $2.55/MMBTU. Among ETFs, 1x UNG gained +1.8% while 2x BOIL added +2.8%. The May contract will expire at the close of trading today and will be replaced tomorrow by the more active T+1 June 2026 contract, which closed Monday up +1.7% at $2.73/MMBTU.
From a fundamental and meteorological standpoint, Monday was a mixed bag. The near-term temperature outlook remains generally neutral. As shown in the Figure to the right, the National Weather Service continues to forecast below-average temperatures into mid-May, as shown in the Service’s 8-14 day temperature outlook in the Figure to the right. This is a pattern shift from the past several weeks which consistently featured unseasonably mild conditions across this area. During the Winter, or even into March or April, this would be a very bullish fore...
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