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Monday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Prices Settle Slightly Lower On Friday To Register Small Weekly Loss; Weather Still Matters Even As Middle East Crisis Continues; Near-Term Temperature Outlook Remains Uninspiring; Gas Demand To Rise Sharply Today As Quick Shot Of Cooler Temperatures Displaces Unseasonable Warmth Across the Ohio Valley
Monday, March 23, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices retreated on Friday as a mediocre near-term temperature outlook outweighed the ongoing crisis in the Middle East. The front-month April 2026 contract fell by 7 cents or -2.2% to settle at $3.10/MMBTU, giving back most of Thursday’s geopolitical-driven gains. Among ETFs, 1x UNG lost -1.4% while 2x BOIL shed -2.5%. On the week, the front-month contract fell a slight -1.1%.
Gas prices remain caught between a major bullish catalyst that is the US-Israel-Iran War and the bearish catalyst that is the near-term temperature outlook. While the effective shutdown of Strait of Hormuz is a very bullish near-term catalyst of oil prices, it is less so for natural gas, especially domestically due to the USA’s robust storage and production. Instead, it will act as a longer-term, but sustained tail-wind for US LNG export demand over the next 2-3 years as QatarEnergy’s Ras Laffan Plant undergoes extensive reconstruction. For this reason, as usual, the weather still matters, an...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
