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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
-Advanced weather modeling data
-Access to Celsius Energy's oil & natural gas portfolio.
-Daily natural gas supply & demand data
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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Plunges As Mild Early-December Temperature Outlook & Broad Commodities Sell-Off Punish Gas Prices To 5-Week Lows; Celsius Energy Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio Pivots, Closes At 2022 Highs; Gas Demand To Fall Further Still Today As Unseasonably Mild Conditions Dominate The Deep South
Tuesday, December 6, 2022
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices were crushed in Monday trading as a pervasive energy sector sell-off combined with a much warmer early-to-mid December temperature outlook to gang up on the commodity. The front-month January 2022 contract plunged a massive 70 cents or -11.2% to settle at $5.58/MMBTU. It was the lowest settlement since October 27. In just the past two sessions, natural gas prices have tumbled -17.2%. The sell-off was prompted by a weekend warming trend in the near-term temperature outlook, especially for the December 5-15 period. My Consensus Model—which integrates a performance-based average of GFS OP, GFS ENS, and ECWMF ENS data—lost over 50 Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) from December 1 to 4 for the 14-day period. As the Figure to the right shows, forecast GWDDs remain much below-average for December 6-14. By December 15, forecast GWDDs could again return close to normal and there are even some indications in the longer term models of a more sustained outbreak of arctic air by C...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
