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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Rallies Despite So-So EIA Storage Injection As July Temperature Outlook Trends Impressively Hotter; July Futures Contract To Expire Today; Gas Demand To Rise Today As Temperatures Warm Across The Southeast; More Substantial & Sustainable Heat Arrives Next Week; No Supply/Demand Data Until Sunday
Friday, June 26, 2026
Please Note: Daily supply/demand data will not be updated Friday or Saturday. Data will return on Sunday, June 28. I apologize for the inconvenience.
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for June 13-19, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +76 BCF. This was just above the 5-year average +75 BCF and was a slight 4 BCF larger than my +72 BCF projection. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the injection averaged a nearly neutral 0.2 BCF/day loose versus the 5-year average, a significant improvement from last week’s 1.2 BCF/day loose and the strongest that imbalances have been in four weeks, thanks largely to stronger LNG export demand. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 2835 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average inched upwards to +152 BCF. The year-over-year deficit, on the other hand, widened by 19 BCF to -49 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, natural gas inventories remain the third highest for the week in the last 5 years, just below last year and just above 2023, a level that could be challenged in the weeks ahead as early July heat beckons.
Three out of the five sto...
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