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Daily Commentary

Natural Gas Pulls Back Ahead Of Today's Projected Near-Average +48 BCF Storage Injection; Oil Dips After EIA Reports 2-Year High Domestic Production Even As Inventories See Largest Weekly Drawdown For August 5-11 On Record; Nuclear Outages Hold Near 5-Year Low, Suppressing Natural Gas Substitution Demand

Chart Of The Day

Chart of the Day: Click here for more information on on natural gas powerburn.

***The next Daily Commentary will be issued on Tuesday, August 22 with the next Trading Commentary (for subscribers) as normally scheduled on Wednesday, August 23. All intraday data and storage projections will continue to be updated as usual. I apologize for the delays.***

Thursday, August 17, 2017
The EIA reported a massive -8.9 MMbbl crude oil drawdown for August 5-11 in its Wednesday morning Petroleum Status Report, but oil fell nearly 2% on the day due to fears over domestic production, which rose to a new 2-year high. For more discussion and analysis of this week's data, please see my article published this morning on Seeking Alpha entitled, "EIA Reports Record Weekly Inventory Drawdown, But Oil Falls As Tug-Of-War Continues--Who Is Right?"

Turning now to natural gas, that commodity continued its own pullback on Wednesday ahead of today's Weekly Storage Report, falling 4.5 cents or 1.5% to settle at $2.89/MMBTU. The commodity has fallen each of the first 3 days of the trading week, dropping 3.2%, and has given back nearly half of last week's 7.5% gain. The driving force behind the pullback seems to be a moderation in the temperature forecast for the second half of August which had turned sharply warmer late last week, even as natural gas remains nearl...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Monday, August 14, 2017
Natural Gas Rises 7.5% Last Week After Temperature Forecast Warms & EIA Reports Bullish Storage Injection; Near-Average +48 BCF Storage Injection Projected For Thursday's EIA Report For August 5-11; Gas Demand Rises From Weekend Lows As Inventories To Top 3100 BCF Today Even As Surplus Drops To New 7-Month Low

Thursday, August 10, 2017
Natural Gas Rises For A Third Straight Day To A 2-Week High As Forecast Trends Warmer; EIA Projected To Announce Modestly Bullish +39 BCF Weekly Storage Injection For July 29-August 4 In Today's Report; Oil Rises After Crude Oil Inventories Fall To A 10-Month Low Following A Bullish -6.5 MMbbl Drawdown

Tuesday, August 8, 2017
Natural Gas Rebounds To Start The Week While Oil Pressured Ahead Of OPEC Meeting; Tropical Storm Franklin Makes First Of Two Landfalls In Mexico, But Should Stay South Of US Oil & Natural Gas Infrastructure; Long-Term Temperature Forecast Moderates

Click HERE For Full 30-Day Archive

Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.