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Other elements on the site are updated on a minute-to-minute basis, providing Realtime data.
These include:
--> Wind Generation & Natural Gas Demand Displacement ***NEW!***
--> Intraday Temperature Data
--> Realtime Natural Gas Inventories
--> Oil & Natural Gas Quotes & Fair Price Data
--> Powerburn Demand
--> Celsius Energy Portfolio Holdings (Subscribers)
...Among others.
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Support Celsius Energy & Access Premium Features!
As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
-Advanced weather modeling data
-Access to Celsius Energy's oil & natural gas portfolio.
-Daily natural gas supply & demand data
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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural gas Prices Top Fresh Multi-Year Highs On Long-Term Optimism But Near-Term *Shrug* Despite Growing Overvaluation; A Pullback Is Coming, But When? Oil Prices Off Of Wednesday’s Big Sell-Off Despite Bearish Crude Oil Inventory Build; EIA Projected To Announce Neutral +40 BCF Injection In Today’s Report; Gas Demand Falls Again Today As Exceptional Warmth Dominates The Heartland
Friday, November 14, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices rallied again on Friday to record fresh 3+ year highs. The front-month December 2025 contract gained 11 cent or 2.5% to settle at $4.65/MMBTU, the highest close since December 2022. Due to some selling after the 2:30 PM ET close of floor trading, natural gas ETFs underperformed. 1x UNG gained +1.1% while 2x BOIL added +2.1%.
Investors continue to look past a bearish near-term temperature outlook that will see forecast Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) below the 5-year average beginning November 20 and, potentially, lasting through the end of the month, as shown in the Figure to the right. As of Thursday evening, my Consensus Model—which integrates a performance-based average of GFS OP, GFS ENS, and ECWMF ENS data—was calling for just 237 GWDDs for November 14-27, easily a 5-year low for the period. Instead, traders continue to eye LNG export demand that continues to hold above 18 BCF/day and is poised to top 20 BCF/day in the coming months. The bullish narrati...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
