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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Can’t Be Stopped: Natural Gas Closes Above $5/MMBTU At Fresh 3-Year High As Investors Look Past Smaller-Than-Expected EIA Storage Withdrawal & Focus On Persistently Supportive Temperature Outlook; Overvalued Near-Term & Undervalued Long-Term, The Natural Gas Futures Strip Has A Bit Of Everything; Series Of Reinforcing Arctic Blasts To Drive Bullish Triple Digit Weekly Storage Withdrawals Through Christmas
Friday, December 5, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for November 22-28, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories fell by -12 BCF. This was 31 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average (as it preceded the ongoing waves of arctic air) and 7 BCF smaller than my -19 BCF projection. It was the weakest draw for the week in the last 5 years. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the withdrawal averaged -1.9 BCF/day loose, or bearish, versus the 5-year average. This is the weakest that imbalances have been since early August, which is not surprising since it was a holiday week. With the withdrawal, natural gas inventories fell to 3923 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average widened to +191 BCF. The year-over-year deficit shrunk to just -18 BCF. Storage is at the third highest level for the week in the last 5 years, but just below 2024 (3937 BCF) and 2020 (3939 BCF) for the 5-year high.
Three out of the five storage regions registered bearish withdrawals (or injections), led by the South...
Continue Reading Full Article (FOR SUBSCRIBERS)...
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