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Daily Commentary


Natural Gas Pulls Out Of Slump After EIA Reports Smaller-Than-Expected Storage Injection; Gas Demand Remains Strong As Heatwave Drives Texas' ERCOT Electrical Grid To New Record; Demand To Fall Next Week, But Storage Deficit Likely To Finish July Over -530 BCF; Season Ending-Inventory Projections Fall Under 3500 BCF To 12-Year Low

Chart Of The Day

Chart of the Day: Click here for more information on natural gas inventories.


Friday, July 20, 2018
Natural gas prices pulled out of a weeklong slump on Thursday, rising 5 cents or 1.8% to settle at $2.77/MMBTU after the EIA announced that inventories rose by +46 BCF for the week of July 7-13. The build was 14 BCF larger than my +60 BCF projection and 16 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average. With the injection, natural gas storage levels rose to 2249 BCF while the storage deficit versus the 5-year average rose to -535 BCF or -19%. The year-over-year deficit contracted slightly to -694 BCF. All 5 storage regions remain well below their respective 5-year averages led by the Midwest region at a -165 BCF or -25% deficit. Natural gas also found support after the EIA reported that domestic production fell slightly to 80.9 BCF/day for July 7-13 and is averaging 80.4 BCF/day through Wednesday of the current week. This has resulted in temperature-independent supply/demand balance--which includes imports, exports, and production--narrowing slightly to 7.4 BCF/day loose year-over-year. Normalizing for...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, July 12, 2018
Natural Gas Rebounds Ahead Of Projected Bullish +52 BCF EIA Storage Injection Today, But Upward Momentum Kept In Check By Cool Late-July Outlook; EIA Reports Historic Crude Oil Drawdown In Status Report, But Oil Pummeled Amidst International Supply/Demand Fears


Tuesday, July 10, 2018
Natural Gas Falls To A 7-Week Low To Start The Week On Supply Concerns; Gas Demand Rises Today As Southeast & Northern Plains Heat Up With Inventories Topping 2250 BCF Overnight Tonight; Inventories Likely To Peak With Sizable Storage Deficit This Fall Despite Record Production...But That Doesn't Mean You Should Go Long Right Now


Monday, July 9, 2018
Natural Gas & Oil Both Suffer Small Losses In Holiday-Shorted Trading Week; EIA Projected To Announce Bullish 5-Year Minimum Storage Injection In This Week's Report Due To Heatwave, But Loose Market Precludes Record Small Build; Natural Gas Demand To Rebound This Week After Weekend Dip As West Coast Remains Hot


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Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.