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Monday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Gas Prices Bounce On Friday & Look To Extend Gains To Start The Week As Late October Temperature Outlook Trends Cooler; Gas Demand To Rise Today On Texas Heat & Cooler Southeast
Monday, October 20, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices rallied on Friday as dip-buyers stepped in one day after prices had slumped below $3/MMBTU to a fresh 3-week low. The front-month November 2025 contract rose 7 cents or 2.4% to settle at $3.01/MMBTU. Among natural gas ETFs, 1x UNG added +2.5% while 2x BOIL—despite holding January 2026 contracts—kept pace, adding +5.2%, highlighting that this was a broad rally across the futures strip. Despite Friday’s bounce, it was still a bad week for the commodity as the front-month contract dropped -4.1%.
Don’t be surprised to see some continuation of the rally to start the week. Over the weekend, both the GFS and ECWMF near-term models trended cooler, pushing Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) higher. As shown in the Figure to the right, both models saw 14-day accumulated GWDDs rise by 25-40 GWDDs, though both remain below long-term averages for the time being. Nonetheless, this is a considerable improvement from recent forecasts. ...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
