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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers

Natural Gas Jumps To 3-Month High Despite Bearish EIA-Reported Storage Injection As Unseasonably Cold Early October Could Squash Triple Digit Inventory Builds; Production Hits New All-Time High As Supply/Demand Imbalance Loosens Further; Gas Demand To Fall Today, But Bullish Weekly Injection Projected To Drive Storage Deficit Above -600 BCF

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Friday, September 21, 2018
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.

In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for September 8-14, the EIA announced Friday morning that inventories rose by +86 BCF. This was equal to my projection and 10 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average +76 BCF. Of note, it was the second time in the last three weeks that my projection was equal to the EIA's number and, after missing last week by just 1 BCF, my model's average three-week error is just 0.3 BCF/week. As has been the case throughout the summer, the +12 BCF injection in the South Central Region (5-year average: +19 BCF) prevented the report from being even more bearish thanks to strong powerburn and LNG exports. All four other regions saw injections that were at or larger than the 5-year average led by the East's +30 BCF injection (5-year average: +21 BCF). This raises the question what will happen when powerburn fades and the South Central can no longer be counted on to compensate for lackluster builds in the other regions? With the +86 BCF build, natural gas inventories...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, September 20, 2018
Crude Oil Rallies To 2-Month High After EIA Reports Fifth Straight Inventory Drawdown; EIA Projected To Announce Modestly Bearish +86 BCF Natural Gas Storage Injection Today, But Very Bullish Build Expected For Next Week's Report As Projections Revised Steadily Downward; Realtime Storage Deficit Could Top -600 BCF Today Even As Demand Falls; Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio Rises To New All-Time High

Wednesday, September 19, 2018
Natural Gas Scores Biggest Daily Gain Since January--But Let's Not Get Carried Away; EIA Forecast To Announce Slightly Bearish Crude Oil Inventory Build Today; Gas Demand To Weaken Today, But Remain Above-Average Yet Again; EOS Inventory Projections Revised Lower On 5-Year High Nuclear Outages & Cold Start To October

Tuesday, September 18, 2018
Natural Gas Rises To Open The Week As Impacts From Florence Begins To Fade; Nuclear Reactor Outages Soar To A 5-Year High While LNG Feedgas To Cove Point Rebounds; Gas Demand To Rise To Weekly High Today As Unseasonable Warmth East Of The Rockies Drives Strong Cooling Demand; Early October Outlook Trending Colder

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