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Daily Commentary

Natural Gas At 3-Month Low After EIA Reports Smaller-Than Expected Weekly Withdrawal; Natural Gas Demand Begins Downturn With -9 BCF Daily Draw Today; Record Warmth This Weekend & Next Week To Drive Daily Injections & Record Bearish Weekly Withdrawal

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Friday, February 17, 2017

***US markets are closed Monday for the President's Day Holiday. The next Daily Commentary will be on Tuesday, February 21.***

In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report, the EIA announced Thursday that inventories for the week of February 4-10 declined by -114 BCF. This withdrawal was 8 BCF smaller than my projected -122 BCF projection, and 10 BCF smaller than the analyst consensus -124 BCF. More importantly, it was 42 BCF smaller than the 5-year average -156 BCF withdrawal. At 2445 BCF, total natural gas inventories now officially stand at +87 BCF or +4 BCF larger than the 5-year average. It is the largest surplus since December 9, 2016. The bearish withdrawal was a group effort with all 5 of the natural gas storage regions seeing draws equal to or smaller than the 5-year average. Once again, the weakest withdrawal was in the South Central region where a period of spring-like temperatures squashed demand, leading to a -22 BCF withdrawal, less than half the 5-year average -45 BCF. Inventories in this region are now +105 BCF or +12% larger than the 5-year average, by far the largest regional surplus. The least...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, February 16, 2017
EIA Projected To Announce Bearish -122 BCF Natural Gas Withdrawal In Today's Storage Report; Crude Oil Inventories Rise To New Record After EIA reports +9.5 MMbbl Weekly Inventory Build; Natural Gas Demand Poised To Rise For Third Straight Day Today With Still-Bearish -19 BCF Draw Expected

Wednesday, February 15, 2017
New Record High Crude Oil Inventories Possible Today After EIA Forecast To Announce Bearish Weekly Build; Natural Gas Demand Rises With -18 BCF Daily Withdrawal Expected Today; Excessively Warm Temperatures Likely To Drive Near-Record Low Storage Draw Next Week

Tuesday, February 14, 2017
Natural Gas Closes Below $3.00/MMBTU For The First Time In 3 Months As 3 Straight Weeks Of 5-Year Low Weekly Withdrawals Now Projected; Natural Gas Demand Rises But Daily Withdrawals Remain Well Below-Average; Rioja Knutsen Arrives In Sabine Pass

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