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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Prices Rise Slightly On Thursday After Better-Than-Expected EIA Storage Report; Volatility Drops Despite Middle East Unrest; April Contract Set To Expire Today; Rangebound Trading Likely To Continue This Spring; Gas Demand To Rise Sharply Today As Cooler Temperatures Overspread The Ohio Valley; Slightly Bearish Weekly Injections Expected This Week & Next
Friday, March 27, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for March 14-20, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories fell by -54 BCF. This was 4 BCF larger than my projection and 33 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average. It was the second largest withdrawal for the week in the last 5 years. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the withdrawal averaged 0.8 BCF/day or nearly 6 BCF/week tight versus the 5-year average, representing a slight tightening from the previous week. This means that supply/demand fundamentals contributed roughly 6 BCF of the week’s bullishness while colder-than-normal temperatures contributed the remaining 27 BCF. With the withdrawal, natural gas inventories fell to 1829 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed to just +14 BCF. The year-over-year surplus was cut in half to +90 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, natural gas inventories remain at the third highest level for the week in the last 5 years, just below 2023 and far below 2024 levels. Expect t...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
