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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Tumbles After Neutral EIA Storage Print On Higher Production & Slightly Cooler Late August Temperature Outlook; Summer & Fall Futures Strip Hugging Estimated Fair Prices; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today And Into Next Week As Cool North & Hot South Pattern Expected To Continue
Friday, August 14, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for August 1-7, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +36 BCF. This was 1 BCF larger than my projection and a neutral 3 BCF bearish versus the +33 BCF 5-year average. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the injection averaged -1.0 BCF/day loose, or bearish, versus the 5-year average, similar to last week. Gains in wind generation and gas displacement were offset by a transient drop in production. This means that entirety of the 3 BCF of bearishness can be attributed to fundamentals with an expected +29 BCF injection, 4 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average, if imbalances were neutral. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 3153 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average widened slightly to +198 BCF. The year-over-year deficit, on the other hand, fell to -25 BCF. As they have all Summer, inventories remain at the second highest level for the week in the last 5 years, just below last year and well below 2024’s ...
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