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Support Celsius Energy & Access Premium Features!
As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
-Advanced weather modeling data
-Access to Celsius Energy's oil & natural gas portfolio.
-Daily natural gas supply & demand data
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Monday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Drops On Friday After Uninspiring EIA Storage Injection But Prices Rallied Last Week On Record LNG Exports & Tease Of Late November Cooldown; Natural Gas Poised For Near-Term Pullback ( But…); Gas Demand To Rise Sharply Today As Much Cooler Temperatures Overspread The Great Lakes & Midwest, Driving A Return To Daily Storage Withdrawals; Secondary Storage Maximum Possible Next Week
Monday, November 17, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Capping off an otherwise strong week, natural gas prices pulled back on Friday. The front-month November 2025 contract fell by 8 cents or -1.7% to settle at $4.57/MMBTU, one day after reaching a nearly 3-year closing high. Among ETFs, 1x UNG dropped -1.7% while 2x BOIL shed -3.4%. On the week, the commodity still gained a solid +5.8%.
Friday's move lower likely came in response to the EIA announcing a +45 BCF weekly storage injection, at or above most analyst projections, potentially suggesting a looser supply/demand imbalance. But last week’s rally was driven by an early-season arctic outbreak and record LNG export demand, coupled with a heavy dose of speculation. As discussed, according to my Fair Price Model, natural gas is sharply overvalued at current levels with the Winter contracts—December, January, and February—trading at a more than 40% overvaluation. Natural gas inventories would need to be at a roughly -150 BCF deficit versus the 5-year average to just...
Continue Reading Full Article (FOR SUBSCRIBERS)...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
