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Daily Commentary

Natural Gas Dips After EIA Reports Neutral +74 BCF Storage Injection As The Commodity Remains Slightly Overvalued; Preliminary +56 BCF Storage Injection Projected For Week Of April 21-27 Ending Today; Broad & Prolonged Period Of March-Like Chill Next Week As Pair Of Potent Storms Draw Cold Air Southward

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Friday, April 28, 2017
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for the week of April 15-21, the EIA announced on Thursday that inventories climbed by +74 BCF. This was 3 BCF larger than my +71 BCF projection, comfortably below my +/-5.4 BCF/week projection error and the smallest weekly error for my model since March 3. See more on my model's projection stats HERE. The injection was also a modestly bearish 16 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average +58 BCF build and was the second largest injection in the past 5 years and fourth largest in the past 23 years. Four out of the five natural gas storage regions saw bearish builds, led by the East region, which saw a +25 BCF injection versus the 5-year average +18 BCF. Nonetheless, with 303 BCF in storage, the East region maintains the largest storage deficit versus the 5-year average in the country at -53 BCF or -15%. The South Central region became the first to top the 1000 BCF mark this season, climbing a near-average +22 BCF to 1005 BCF. This reg...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, April 27, 2017
EIA Projected To Announce Modestly Bearish +71 BCF Weekly Natural Gas Storage Injection For April 15-21; Gas Demand Rises As Colder Temperatures Settle Across The Plains With Bullish +8 BCF Build Today; Crude Oil Flat After EIA Reports Very Bullish -3.6 MMbbl Weekly Draw As Exports Spike, But Bearish Refined Product Builds

Wednesday, April 26, 2017
EIA Forecast To Announce Modestly Bullish +0.9 MMbbl Crude Oil Inventory Build, But Exceptionally Bearish +4 MMbbl Gasoline Injection; Natural Gas Demand To Fall To Weekly Low As Detroit Pushes 80F; LNG Exports Continue To Drop

Monday, April 24, 2017
Natural Gas Falls 4% On The Week & Remains Overvalued, But Period Of Above-Average Demand Could Provide Temporary Support; Preliminary +52 BCF Weekly Storage Injection Projected This Week, 10 BCF Bullish; Natural Gas Demand Falls To Begin Week, But Remains Above-Average

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