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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Pulls Back Sharply On Profit-Taking & Milder Mid-October Temperature Outlook; Production Drops; BOIL Rollover Continues; Oil Rises After Refined Products Drop; EIA Projected To Announce Slightly Bullish +80 BCF Storage Injection Today; Gas Demand To Rise Today As Cooler Temperatures Shift Into The Northeast
Thursday, October 9, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
One day after reaching a 3-month high, natural gas prices reversed sharply on Wednesday as profit-takers stepped in, spurred on by a moderation in the temperature outlook for the second half of October. The front-month November 2025 contract tumbled 17 cents or 4.7% to settle at $3.33/MMBTU, the lowest since October 3. Among ETFs, 1x UNG fell -4.9% while 2x BOIL shed -9.0%. BOIL continued its bimonthly rollover and now holds 40% January 2026 contracts. The rollover will wrap up next Monday. BOIL was less volatile than “predicted” relative to UNG (which continues to hold front-month contracts) yesterday, as this will only increase as the rollover progresses.
A portion of yesterday’s pullback was likely driven by technicals and profit-taking after prices had become increasingly overvalued after the most recent leg of the rally. However, selling pressure was amplified in the afternoon as the temperature outlook for October 18-22 trended warmer. As shown in the Figure to the right,...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
