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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Retreats On Monday On Moderating Temperature Outlook And Strengthening Production; LNG Export Demand Jumps To Nearly 6-Month Highs; Gas Demand To Rise Today As Impressive Late-Summer Heat Builds Across The Central US
Tuesday, October 13, 2026
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Natural gas prices slumped on Monday one session after jumping to multi-month highs as investors eyed rebounding production and a moderating mid-to-late October temperature outlook. The front-month November 2026 contract fell by 5 cents or -1.6%, neatly reversing Friday’s gains, to settle at $3.17/MMBTU. Among ETFs, 1x UNG dropped -0.8% while 2x BOIL shed -1.4%, both outperforming the front-month contract in order to balance out post-2:30 PM ET losses on Friday. BOIL continues its monthly rollover and now holds 80% of its futures exposure in January 2027 T+2 contracts. The fund will complete its rollover today. Later this week, UNG will undergo its own monthly rollover into T+1 December contracts.
I feel that prices were likely pressured on Monday after the 14-day temperature outlook modified. Late last week and over the weekend, the GFS model suite trended sharply colder due to the season’s first significant shot of artic air beginning this weekend into early next week. Howeve...
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