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Weekend Update ***NEW!***


Natural Gas Prices Collapse In Largest Loss Of 2025 As Bears Steamroll The Bulls; Is It Over Yet?

Saturday, December 13, 2025

This Commentary is a new feature on CelsiusEnergy.Net. It will be published on Saturday and is publicly available to all. It will provide a concise review of the previous week in the natural gas sector and will discuss catalysts and my sentiment moving forwards.


What an up-and-down month. The Friday before last, the arctic air was unending and the bulls were in control, driving prices to a 3-year closing high of $5.28/MMBTU. Fast forward a week and gas prices tumbled four out of five sessions to log a gargantuan -22.2% weekly loss to $4.11/MMBTU. It was the largest weekly decline of the year. Even with the sell-off, prices are still up +25.4% year-over-year and remain at the second highest level for the date in the last 5 years, below only 2022’s $6.59/MMBTU. Last week’s losses lay squarely at the feet of Mother Nature. After an exceptionally cold early-to-mid December temperature outlook, the near-term models pivoted abruptly last week, calling for a breakdown in the supportive temperature pattern beginning later in the upcoming week. This will result in exceptional cold across Alaska but a much milder second half of the month over the Lower 48, especially across the Central and Southern US, as shown in the 8-14 day temperature outlo...

Continue Reading Full Article (Publicly Available)...


Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Friday, December 12, 2025
Sell The News: Natural Gas Plunges Again Despite Historic Storage Withdrawal As Balmy Christmas Looms; BOIL & KOLD Complete Rollover To March Contracts Presenting An Opportunity; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today As Strongest Wave Of Arctic Air This Season Pushes Into The Northern Plains; Long-Standing Storage Surplus Versus The 5-Year Average Posed To Flip To A Deficit Next Week (Temporarily)


Thursday, December 11, 2025
Natural Gas Takes A Breather As Investors Eye The Late December Temperature Outlook; EIA Expected To Announce A Very Bullish—But Priced In—Storage Withdrawal In Today’s Report; Oil Rises After Fed Rate Cut & Venezuelan Tanker Seizure, Despite “Meh” EIA Petroleum Status Report; Natural Gas Demand To Surge Today As Reinforcing Shot Of Arctic Air Arrives


Wednesday, December 10, 2025
Natural Gas Sell-Off Enters Second Day As Mid-To-Late December Temperature Outlook Continues To Trend Milder; Oil Prices Fall Ahead Of Anticipated Rate Cut & Ukraine-Russia Peace Proposals; EIA Expected To Announce Big Crude Draw But Bearish Gasoline Build In Today’s Status Report; Natural Gas Demand To Fall Today As East Coast Warms Ahead Of Next Arctic Shot


Click HERE For Full 30-Day Archive



Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Weekly Commentaries **NEW!***

These are a series of commentaries about broad topics and trends in the oil and natural gas sector. These will typically be published on Saturday or Sunday and will be publicly available. I hope you find them interesting and educational.


Sunday, March 31, 2024
Winter 2023-24 & The Natural Gas Sector: A Post Mortem

Sunday, March 10, 2024
It’s The Slow Knife That Cuts The Deepest: How Insidious Contango Can Smother The Natural Gas Trader & How To Avoid It

Sunday, March 3, 2024
Paradoxical? An Analysis Of Seasonal Trends In The Natural Gas Sector
Intraday Natural Gas Storage Change

Realtime Natural Gas Inventories

Advanced Model Page

The Advanced Modeling Page integrates data from multiple models to generate gas-weighted degree day (GWDD) forecasts for the next 44 days and is available to subscribers. Click HERE to learn more about subscribing.

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Intraday Temperature Data


Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.