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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Rallies For Second Straight Session On Dip-Buying, Expectations For Historic EIA Storage Withdrawal, And Weak Production, Even As Temperature Outlook Continues To Trend Mild; Oil Prices Rally, Then Fade, On US-Iran Nuclear Talks & Bullish EIA Petroleum Status Report; EIA Projected To Announce Record -373 BCF Storage Withdrawal Today—But Watch Out For A Sell-The-News Reaction; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today
Thursday, February 5, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices rose for a second straight session on Wednesday as the bulls worked to claw back some ground after Monday’s historic sell-off. The front-month March 2026 contract rose by 15 cents or 4.7% to settle at $3.47/MMBTU, though prices are still far below last Friday’s close of $4.35/MMBTU. Among ETFs, 1x UNG added +3.7% while 2x BOIL rose 7.5%, underperforming after accounting for late gains the prior session after the 2:30 PM ET close of floor trading. The rally helped my Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio to rise +0.8% to push year-to-date gains to +5.4%.
There were no major catalysts yesterday to justify a more than 4% move in the sector and I suspect the rally was mostly driven by a continuation of dip-buying after Monday’s big drop. In particular, the near-term temperature outlook shows no signs of returning to the colder-than-normal pattern from late January after this weekend’s final shots of arctic air. As shown in the Figure to the right, forecast Gas-Weighted Deg...
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