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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
-Advanced weather modeling data
-Access to Celsius Energy's oil & natural gas portfolio.
-Daily natural gas supply & demand data
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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Arctic Outbreak Fever: Gas Prices Soar On Colder Early December Temperature Outlook & Strong LNG Export Demand But Lofty Inventories Could Lead To Future Pain; Oil Prices Drop On Russia-Ukraine Peace Efforts Despite Bullish EIA Petroleum Status Report; EIA Projected To Announce First Weekly Storage Withdrawal Of The Season Today; Gas Demand To Fall Again Today As Ohio Valley Warms
Thursday, November 20, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
After three tepid sessions, natural gas prices soared on Wednesday as a much colder pattern to wrap up November and kick off December looks increasingly likely. The front-month December 2025 contract jumped 18 cents or 4.1% to settle at $4.55/MMBTU, back to within 2% of last week’s nearly 3-year highs. Natural gas ETFs now hold less volatile January 2026 contracts and, as a result, underperformed slightly. The 1x ETF UNG rose +3.4% while 2x BOIL added +6.7%.
The near-term models continue to come into better agreement that, after Thanksgiving next Thursday, the unseasonable warmth east of the Rockies will be swiftly replaced by much colder temperatures. It is unclear if truly arctic air will extend deep into the heart of the US or whether it will be more of a glancing blow. However, the overall patten, as currently forecast, favors continued shots of arctic air into early December. As shown in the Figure to the right, forecast Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) will bottom out nex...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
