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Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Snaps Three-Session Losing Streak On Dip-Buying & Early October Cold Snap; Oil Climbs After Better-Than-Expected EIA Petroleum Status Report; EIA Projected To Announce Slightly Bullish +66 BCF Natural Gas Storage Injection Today; Gas Demand To Rise Today On Building Heat Across The Southeast & Ohio Valley
Thursday, October 1, 2026
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Natural gas prices snapped a three-session losing streak on Wednesday as investors eyed potential early-season heating demand and still-weak production. The front-month November 2026 contract rose by nearly 2 cents or 0.5% to settle at $3.03/MMBTU. Among ETFs, 1x UNG rose by +0.2% while 2x BOIL was flat, both underperforming due to some modest selling after the 2:30 PM ET close of floor trading.
First off, I suspect that yesterday’s recovery was at least partially due to dip-buying after a roughly 10% decline in the November contract over the preceding three sessions. Second, investors anticipate that the EIA will announce a solidly tight injection in today’s Storage Report (more on that below). Finally, investors may also be eyeing the first meaningful shot of colder-than-normal temperatures and early-season heating demand next week across the major population centers of the Northeast. This will drive daily Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) above 11 GWDDs by October 6, as shown...
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