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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Rides Monday Roller Coaster To Log Small Gain As Investors Eye Mid-To-Late November Pattern Shift; Gas Prices Sharply Overvalued & Due For A Pullback, But Record LNG Exports Should Cushion The Blow; Gas Demand To Drop Today As Western Plains Warms, But Arctic Air Across the East Will Drive Another Very Bullish Daily Storage Withdrawal
Tuesday, November 11, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices rode something of a roller coaster on Monday before ultimately finishing with a small gain. The commodity gapped up nearly 5% in Sunday evening electronic trade to as high as $4.50/MMBTU. Prices then gave up all of these gains and then some right at the open, dropping into the red, before rallying again into the close. Ultimately, the front-month December contract rose 2 cents or 0.5% to settle at $4.34/MMBTU. Thanks to some additional gains after the 2:30 PM ET close of floor trading, natural gas ETFs outperformed. 1x UNG added +1.1% while 2x BOIL rose +2.0%.
As discussed in yesterday’s Commentary, prices have been driven higher by the bullish combination of an historic early-season arctic outbreak and record LNG export demand above 18 BCF/day. As bullish as this is, it only put a modest dent in a storage surplus versus the 5-year average, which remains above +125 BCF. As a result, overvaluations according to my Fair Price Model have soared. As...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
