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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
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Monday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


Natural Gas Extends Losing Streak To 7-Straight Sessions, But, Now Undervalued, The Commodity Due For A Bounce As Temperature Outlook Trends Colder; Natural Gas Production Erases Freeze-Off Induced Losses, But Stalled Rig Count Means Production Likely Won’t See Meaningful Gains This Year; Gas Demand To Jump Today On Quick-Hitting Shot Of Colder Temperatures

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Monday, March 1, 2021
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


Natural gas prices were little changed in a low-volatility trading session on Friday, with the April 2021 front-month contract dropping less than a penny or -0.2% to $2.77/MMBTU. However, it was enough to continue a bearish run for natural gas since mid-February’s arctic outbreak came and went, pushing the commodity’s losing streak to 7 straight sessions, the longest streak since 12 consecutive in October 2019. Besides profit-taking, investors have also shunned a near-term temperature outlook that had trended milder for early March throughout the week as well as natural gas production that had quickly recovered after mid-February freeze-offs. However, with a storage deficit versus the 5-year average that is now pushing -250 BCF, the sell-off pushed natural gas prices to undervalued based on current inventories according to my Fair Price Model last week for the first time in 2021. With a Fair Price of $2.81/MMBTU, natural gas is undervalued by 1.4%, an undervaluation that will rise to ...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Friday, February 26, 2021
Natural Gas Extends Losses On Mild Temperature Outlook Despite The EIA Reporting The Second Largest Weekly Withdrawal On Record; Inventories Set To Bottom At Bullish--But Comfortabl--Levels In 5-6 Weeks, But Next Autumn’s Peak Could Be Very Tight; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today With Slightly Bullish Withdrawal Expected To Wrap Up The Week


Thursday, February 25, 2021
Natural Gas Drops Again As Warmer-Than-Normal Outlook Sours Sentiment, But E&Ps Vault Higher As Bullish Set-Up Remains In Place; Oil Prices Surge To New Yearly High As EIA Reports Only Mildly Bearish Build Despite Large Weather-Driven Drop In Demand; EIA Projected To Announce Historic—But Highly Uncertain—339 BCF Natural Gas Storage Withdrawal Today; Gas Demand To Rise On Quick-Hitting Short Of Colder Air


Wednesday, February 24, 2021
Natural Gas Continues Slide As Warming Temperatures Dampen Sentiment, But Upside Potential Outweighs Downside Risk At These Levels; WTI Reaches 1-Year High Intraday But Fades In The Afternoon Ahead Of Today’s Expected Crude Oil Inventory Build; Gas Demand To Fall Again Today As Mild Temperatures Dominate Lower 48


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Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.