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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Registers Small Loss Thursday After In-Line EIA Storage Report; Losses Limited By Continued Improvement In The Near-Term Temperature Outlook—But More Is Needed; Gas Demand To Rise Today As Heartland Continues To Cool; Bearish Injections Projected This Week And Next As Broadly Mild Pattern Continues; Injection Season Expected To Continue Through November 20
Friday, November 6, 2026
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report covering October 24-30, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +77 BCF. This was 5 BCF smaller than my +82 BCF projection but 16 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the injection averaged 1.0 BCF/day (or 7 BCF/week) tight or bullish versus the 5-year average. This was a dramatic improvement from the previous week when imbalances were nearly 2 BCF/day loose. It means that, if not for the tighter imbalance, the week’s injection would have been closer to +89 BCF rather than +82 BCF. With the build, natural gas inventories rose to 3801 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average widened to +54 BCF. The year-over-year deficit slid to -109 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, inventories remain the third lowest for the week in the last 5 years, but just below 2023’s level, which it is likely to surpass in the coming weeks.
Four out of the five storage regions registered bearish...
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