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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Prices Stumble To Fresh Two-Month Lows After Disappointing EIA Storage Injection; Gas Prices Still Not Undervalued; Natural Gas Demand To Fall Slightly Today As Northeast Cools; Pattern Shift Next Week To Return Hotter Conditions To The South But Milder Conditions Across The Northern Tier; Storage Surplus Versus The 5-Year Average On Track To Top +200 BCF Next Week
Friday, July 17, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for July 4-10, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +41 BCF. This was a slight 4 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average but also 4 BCF larger than my +37 BCF projection. On a temperature-adjusted basis, supply/demand imbalances improved significantly from the previous week’s very loose reading but still averaged -1.8 BCF/day loose, or bearish, versus the 5-year average. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 3024 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed slightly to +181 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, storage levels remain at the third highest level for the week in the last 5 years, just below last year and well below 2024’s 5-year maximum.
The East and Midwest Regions saw the largest absolute injections on the week at +14 BCF and +20 BCF, both right at their regional 5-year averages. On the other hand, the tiny Pacific Region was the most bullish at a flat +0 BCF, 5 BCF small...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
