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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers

Turning The Corner: EIA Reports Bearish +109 BCF Natural Gas Storage Injection, But Supply/Demand Imbalance Now Appears To Be Tightening Back Up On Production Drop & Strong Powerburn; Oil Prices Rally After Big Inventory Build As Imports Surge Above Pre-COVID Levels

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Friday, May 29, 2020
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.

In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report covering May 16-22, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +109 BCF. This was 16 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average +93 BCF and 9 BCF larger than my +100 BCF projection as I probably overestimated the impact of falling production. Superficially this appeared to be a disappointing injection, but, given the very bearish weather pattern present throughout the week, it actually suggests a tightening market, as I will discuss below. With the +109 BCF injection, natural gas inventories rose to 2612 BCF while the storage surplus versus the 5-year average widened to +423 BCF or +19%. Storage is +778 BCF higher than this time last year. Four out of the five storage regions saw bearish injections, led by the cool East Region with a +35 BCF build, (5-year average +27 BCF). The exception was the South Central Region which saw enough heat to inject only +24 BCF, 2 BCF below the 5-year average +26 BCF. Nonetheless, the South Central ...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, May 28, 2020
Natural Gas Pulls Back Even As Powerburn Reaches New Seasonal High & LNG Exports Gain While Oil Drops Sharply As Russia Ponders Relaxing Production Curbs Next Month; In Twin Reports Today, EIA Projected To Announce Slightly Bearish Natural Gas Storage Injection And Big Crude Oil Build As Inventories Near All-Time High; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today On Warming South But Cooling Northeast

Wednesday, May 27, 2020
Natural Gas Jumps On Rising Powerburn & Exports While Oil Rebound Moves Full Steam Ahead; Natural Gas Rally Has Legs, But Needs Help This Summer; Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today As South Warms, But Toasty Great Lakes & Northeast Moderate; LNG Export Demand Continue To Recover As Week-Over-Week Gains Top 1 BCF/Day

Tuesday, May 26, 2020
The Good, The Bad And The...Meh: Natural Gas Whipsaws As Multiple Bullish & Bearish Catalysts Face Off Heading Into High Stakes Summer Cooling Season; Gas Demand To Dip Today As Chilly Conditions Across The South Counter Summer-Like Heat Across The Northeast & West

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