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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas & Oil Prices Tumble On Possible US-Oman-Iran Deal, Moderating Near-Term Temperature Outlook, & Comfortable Storage Surplus; EIA Expected To Announce Marginally Bullish Petroleum Status Report Today; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today On Warming Ohio Valley
Wednesday, August 5, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices tumbled on Tuesday to fresh multi-month lows. The front-month September 2026 contract slumped by 10 cents or 3.6% to settle at $2.68/MMBTU. It was the lowest settlement for the front-month since April 29. Among ETFs, 1x UNG lost -3.4% while 2x BOIL shed 6.8%.
The sell-off can in large part be blamed on accelerating losses in the oil sector on news of an emerging deal between the US, Oman, and Iran (more on that below). However, prices were also likely pressured by a moderating near-term temperature outlook. As shown in the Figure to the right, 14-day accumulated Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) as forecast by both the GFS and ECWMF models have trended slightly lower over the past 48 hours. As of early Wednesday morning, my Consensus Model—which integrates a performance-based average of GFS OP, GFS ENS, and ECWMF ENS data—was calling for 192 GWDDs for August 5-18, still the single most for the period in the last 5-years but down 5-7 GWDDs over the preceding 24...
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