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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Prices Spike To Three-Month Highs After Bullish EIA Storage Data, Falling Production, & Early-October Cold Snap Threat; Near-Term Futures Prices Now Overvalued; Gas Demand To Fall Today As Broad Nor’Easter Cools Temperatures From Florida To Maine; Slightly Bullish Weekly Storage Injections Expected This Week & Next As South Remains Hot
Friday, September 25, 2026
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for September 12-18, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +53 BCF. This was a strong 23 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average and 4 BCF smaller than my +57 BCF projection. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the injection was nearly neutral, averaging just 0.1 BCF/day loose versus the 5-year average, the tightest week in a month, likely due to a drop in production. With the injection, natural gas storage rose to 3351 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed to +95 BCF. The year-over-year deficit jumped to -146 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, inventories are at the third highest level for the week in the last 5 years, but are quickly closing in on 2023, which the current season should drop below within the next 2 weeks.
For a second straight week, the bullishness of the injection was driven by the South Central Region, which saw consistently hotter-than-normal temperatures throughout the week....
Continue Reading Full Article (FOR SUBSCRIBERS)...
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