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Monday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


Natural Gas Falls To End Holiday-Shortened Week But Still Finishes With A Weekly Gain; Natural Gas Demand Set To Rise Today On Deep South Cold & Ohio Valley Storm System As Realtime Inventories Finally Drop Below 3900 BCF; LNG Exports Steady Near All-Time Highs As Global Gas Prices Rally; Strong Gas Demand Likely This Week On Chilly Temperatures—But Then What?

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Monday, November 30, 2020
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


After Wednesday’s surprising rally despite a disappointing EIA-reported storage withdrawal, natural gas prices fell sharply in Friday’s holiday-shortened trading session. The front-month January 2020 contract settled down 12 cents or 4.0% to $2.84/MMBTU. The end-of-week loss wasn’t enough to wipe out early-week gains, however, and the front-month contract still finished the week up 7 cents or 2.5%--or 7.1% if you include the early-week rollover from the December to January contracts. Friday’s loss was driven likely by both a bit of a delayed response to Wednesday’s disappointing EIA number as well as building support among the computer models that, after this week’s cold snap, the second half of December would bring more seasonal, or even a return to above-average temperatures. However, there remains considerable disagreement among the models as to whether this warm-up will set up a return to the mild November pattern or just a temporary moderation before the next shot of cold air...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Friday, November 27, 2020
Natural Gas Rallies Despite Another Disappointing EIA Storage Report As December Temperature Outlook Trends Colder; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today As Cooler Conditions Overspread The Great Plains, But Another Bearish Weekly Withdrawal Is Still Expected; Triple Digit Withdrawal Possible Next Week As Much Colder Temperatures—And The Threat For Snow—Finally Arrive


Wednesday, November 25, 2020
Natural Gas Rises For A Third Day As Confidence In Colder Early-December Temperature Outlook Increases While Oil Surges To 8-Month High On Biden Transition & COVID Vaccine Optimism; A Busy Day For The EIA Today With Oil & Natural Gas Storage Reports On Tap; Gas Demand To Fall Sharply Today As Warmer Temperatures Quickly Overspread The East


Tuesday, November 24, 2020
Natural Gas Rallies As Early-December Temperature Outlook Trends Colder With Triple Digit Weekly Storage Withdrawals Possible; Gas Demand To Rise To 1-Week High Today On Quick Eastern Cold Shot As Inventories Fall Back Towards Seasonal Lows; LNG Export Demand Rallies On Record Flows To Corpus While Production Continues To Toe 90 BCF/Day


Click HERE For Full 30-Day Archive




Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Natural Gas Long-Term Storage Projections

Inventories for the next 8 months & season-ending forecasts.

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Natural Gas Fair Price Analysis

Price premium or discount based on storage projections & historical prices.

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Near-Term Temperature Forecast

Based on GFS model output, maps updated four times daily, stats updated twice daily.

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Natural Gas Exports

Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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US Wind Output & Forecast

Today's live wind generation & impact on natural gas, updated hourly.

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Nuclear Powerplant Outages

US nuclear powerplant outages & impact on natural gas demand, updated daily.

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CAISO Solar Output

Today's Solar Output from Caiso Region (California), updated hourly.

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Crude Oil Storage

Observed inventories reported by EIA & 6-month projections.

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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.