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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
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Monday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Gas Prices Surge In August Contract’s Front-Month Debut As Dip-Buyers Step In; Watch For Prices To Pull Back To Start The Week As Choppy Trading Continues, But I Expect Tightening Imbalances & Long-Term To Provide Longer-Term Support; Gas Demand To Rise Today As Powerburn Strengthens; Inventories On Track To Reach 3000 BCF On Thursday
Monday, June 30, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its first session as the front-month contract, the August 2025 natural gas contract abruptly snapped a 4-session losing streak on Friday. The contract surged 23 cents or 6.5% to settle at $3.75/MMBTU, the highest close since June 20. The 1x ETF UNG rose 5.6% while 2x BOIL added +10.3%. On the week, the front-month contract “only” lost -2.4%, although that is deceiving due to Thursday’s expiration of the July contract in a state of steep contango relative to the August contract. The August contract itself finished with a steeper -4.9% loss for the week.
Friday’s rally appeared to be the result of dip buyers stepping in to pick up exposure to a commodity that had become oversold and came despite Thursday’s surprisingly large +96 BCF EIA storage injection and a storage surplus versus the 5-year average that is approaching +200 BCF.
That said, there have also been developing bullish catalysts that some investors may have been trying to front-run. First, the near-term te...
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