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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Falls For Sixth Session In Seven After Neutral Storage Injection & Still-Mild Temperature Outlook; Injection Season Likely To Finish With Second Largest Seasonal Build & Third Highest Inventory Level Since 2020; Gas Demand To Top 3800 BCF Today As Very Mild Temperature Across The Heartland & Cooler Northeast Lead To Seasonal Daily Injection
Friday, October 17, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for October 4-10, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +80 BCF.
This was a slight 2 BCF larger than my +78 BCF projection and was 3 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the injection averaged 0.4 BCF/day or 3 BCF/week loose (bearish) versus the 5-year average, courtesy of stronger wind generation during the week. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 3721 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average dipped slightly to +154 BCF. The year-over-year surplus rose slightly to +26 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, inventories remain at the second highest level for the date in the last 5 years, just above 2024.
Despite the slightly bullish injection, only one out of the five storage regions actually saw a bullish injection. That was the South Central Region which took advantage of late-season heat to register a +20 BCF injection, 8 BCF smaller than its 5-year av...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
