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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Tumbles To A 4-Month Low Ahead Of Today’s Futures Expiration; Natural Gas Fair Price Finally Flips To A Discount; Oil Prices Plunge On Middle East Peace Prospects, Then Jump Overnight On Renewed Strikes; EIA Expected To Report Bearish Petroleum Status Report Today; Gas Demand To Fall Slightly Today On Cooler Southeast
Wednesday, July 29, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its penultimate trading session, the front-month August 2026 natural gas contract extended its losing streak to four. In volatile, low-volume trade, the contract settled down 11 cents or 3.8% at $2.66/MMBTU. It was the lowest close since April 27. The contract will expire at the close of trading today and will be replaced by the more active T+1 September contract which fell by -3.1%. Among ETFs (which hold September contracts), 1x UNG dropped by -3.1% while 2 BOIL shed -6.1%.
As on Monday, natural gas prices were likely pressured lower by the broader energy sector, especially oil prices, which saw a second straight big loss on Middle East peace prospects (more on that below). Otherwise, the near-term temperature outlook was largely unchanged with 14-day accumulated Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) still at 5-year highs. LNG export demand, amidst ongoing maintenance, has stabilized at around 17.0-17.2 BCF/day, up 1-2 BCF/day year-over-year while production has been choppy nea...
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