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Monday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Prices Plunge In Worst Week Since February; Bearish Weather Forecast Weighs Heavily On Sentiment But Widening Undervaluation Creates Asymmetric Risk/Reward Profile; Gas Demand To Inch Higher Today But Bearish Daily Build still Expected As East Remains Cool But Heartland Stays Mild
Monday, October 26, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices plunged on Friday to wrap up an exceptionally bearish week as the temperature outlook for the first week of the traditional storage withdrawal season comes into focus—and it’s not pretty. The front-month November 2026 contract plunged by 16 cents or 5.6% to settle at $2.64/MMBTU. It was the lowest close for the front-month contract since August 6. Among ETFs, 1x UNG fell a lesser -3.1% while 2x BOIL eased -3.2%. As discussed previously, this behavior is to be expected from both ETFs as we approach the expiration of the November contract this week as UNG holds less volatile December contracts and BOIL even less volatile January 2027 contracts. On the week, the commodity plunged -15.3%, its worst weekly loss since February.
As has been the narrative throughout mid-to-late October, prices have been pressured by a bearish near-term temperature outlook. As the calendar has shifted into the final 10 days of the month, this forecast has begun to extend in the first ...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
