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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Rises After Better-Than-Expected EIA Storage Report Suggests Improving Fundamentals; Investors Remain Cautious As Storage Surplus Hugs +200 BCF; Gas Demand To Fall This Weekend Before Ramping Up Next Week On Widespread Mid-Summer Heat
Friday, July 31, 2026
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report covering July 18-24, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +28 BCF. This was comfortably below my +37 BCF projection and was just 2 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average, despite consistently cooler-than-normal temperatures across much of the Northeast and Midwest. On a temperature-adjusted basis, the injection averaged a slight 0.2 BCF/day tight, or bullish, versus the 5-year average, the strongest imbalance in eight weeks, courtesy of a stronger natural gas share of the powerstack. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 3084 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average inched upwards to +185 BCF. The year-over-year deficit, on the other hand, widened to -32 BCF. As shown in the Figure to the right, storage levels remain the third highest for the week in the last 5 years, just below last year but comfortably below 2024’s 5-year high.
Once again, intense Summer heat drove the tiny Pacific Region to a...
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