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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers

Natural Gas Plunges On Aggressive Profit-Taking & Potential Late January Warm-Up After In-Line EIA Storage Report, Giving Up Wednesday’s Big Gains; Projected End-Of-Season Storage Minimum Begins To Drop As Supply/Demand Imbalance Tightens & Colder-Than-Normal Temperatures Dominate January; Major Storm System To Stretch From The Midwest To Mid-Atlantic This Weekend

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Friday, January 14, 2022
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.

In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for January 1-7, the EIA announced Thursday morning that natural gas inventories fell by -179 BCF. This was 3 BCF larger than my -176 BCF projection and was 24 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average. It was a dramatic improvement from the previous week’s mere -31 BCF withdrawal. Inventories fell to 3016 BCF while the storage surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed to +72 BCF. The year-over-year deficit widened to -218 BCF. Four out of the five storage regions saw bullish draws, with only the East at -37 BCF (5-year average: -40 BCF) lagging. After a rare storage injection the previous week, the South Central Region saw the most bullish draw at -55 BCF, 11 BCF bullish versus its 5-year average. The Midwest saw the largest withdrawal overall at -58 BCF thanks to consistent sub-zero temperatures across the northern Plains and Upper Midwest, although this was only 8 BCF bullish versus the 5-year average. Two out of the five regions—the Mountain (-...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, January 13, 2022
Natural Gas Surges On Bitterly Cold Temperature Outlook & Strong LNG Exports—But Prices Are Priced For Perfection Here; Oil Prices Rise After EIA Reports Inventories Fall To 3+ Year Low; EIA Projected To Announce -176 BCF Natural Gas Storage Withdrawal In Today’s Report; Gas Demand To Fall To Near-Term Low Today Unseasonably Temperatures Temporarily Dominate The Lower 48

Wednesday, January 12, 2022
Natural Gas Surges To 6-Week High To Reach My Upside Price Target, But Don’t Be Starstruck By The Temperature Outlook & Ignore These Potentially Bearish Catalysts; Crude Oil Reaches Highest Since November On Omicron Optimism; EIA Expected To Announce Seventh Straight Crude Oil Inventory Draw, But Record-Challenging Gasoline Build; Gas Demand To Tumble Today As Much Warmer Temperatures Arrive

Tuesday, January 11, 2022
Natural Gas Rallies Above $4.00/MMBTU To A 2-Week High On Bullish January Temperature Outlook & Soft Production; Gas Demand To Rise To A Weekly High Today On Unseasonably Chilly Northeast

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