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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
-Advanced weather modeling data
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-Daily natural gas supply & demand data
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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Tumbles For Fourth Loss In A Row To 6-Week Low On Very Mild Late December Temperature Outlook; Have We Forgotten That Winter Hasn’t Technically Even Started Yet? Oil Prices Slump To 4-Year Lows On Ukraine Peace Progress, But Investors Eye Venezuelan Blockade; EIA Expected To Announce Big Crude Drawdown Today; Projected Daily Natural Gas Storage Withdrawals To Drop Below The 5-Year Average Today
Wednesday, December 17, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices plunged once again on Tuesday after overnight computer model runs trended much milder The front-month January 2025 contract sank by 13 cents or 3.1% to settle at $3.89/MMBTU. It was the fourth straight daily loss and the lowest close since October 29. Over the past 7 sessions, gas prices are down -26.5%--a remarkable loss even by natural gas standards of volatility. Among natural gas ETFs, 1x UNG dropped 2.9% while 2x BOIL shed -3.8%. Both ETFs are outperforming the front-month contract. BOIL already holds exclusively less volatile March contracts while UNG is halfway through its monthly rollover into February contracts.
This sell-off continues to be primarily weather-driven. As shown in the Figure to the right, over the past 48 hours, 14-day accumulated Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) as forecast by both the GFS and ECWMF models have fallen precipitously, declining by nearly 70 GWDDs since December 15. As of early Wednesday morning, my Consensus Model—which...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
