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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Rallies To 3-Year Highs On Persistently Bullish Temperature Outlook; Gas Prices Overvalued Near-Term & Undervalued Long-Term; Natural Gas Demand To Hold Steady Today With Another Very Bullish Daily Storage Withdrawal Expected As Temperatures Remain Unseasonably Chilly East Of The Rockies
Tuesday, December 2, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices quickly recovered from a brief dip in Sunday evening electronic trade to finish in the black and register another 3-year high. The front-month January 2025 contract jumped 7 cents or 1.5% to settle at $4.92/MMBTU, the highest close since December 27, 2022. Natural gas ETFs outperformed due to rebalancing from a post-2:30 PM ET drop last Friday. 1x UNG gained +3.3% while 2x BOIL added +6.2%.
The bullish narrative remains unchanged here. The near-term models continue to forecast a supportive pattern featuring a trough east of the Rockies that will allow reinforcing shots of arctic air to funnel in across the major population centers of the Great Lakes and Northeast into the Deep South through at least the second week of December. As shown in the Figure to the right, this will favor consistently above-average Gas-Weighted Degree Days (GWDDs) through at least December 15, a remarkably long streak of bullish weather-driven demand, at least by the standards of rece...
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