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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Retreats From Its Highs But OpenNatural Gas Recovers From Early Losses Tuesday As early September Temperature Outlook Trends Hotter; Triple Digit Year-Over-Year Storage Deficit Possible Within Two Weeks; Oil Prices Tumble On Economic Warfare Plan; EIA Expected To Announce Another Bearish Crude Oil Inventory Build In Today’s Petroleum Status Report; Gas Demand To Rise Today As Northeast Warms
Wednesday, August 26, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices finished with a small loss on Tuesday, but rallied sharply off their early-morning lows. The front-month September 2026 contract fell as low as $2.70/MMBTU before recovering to “only” close down one cent or 0.4% at $2.77/MMBTU. The September contract will expire at the close of trading tomorrow. Later contracts, including the October and November contracts held by ETFs, actually ended with small gains. As a result, 1x UNG added +0.8% while 2x BOIL rose +0.9%.
Yesterday’s early-session nearly 3% intraday decline may have been a reflection of investor disappointment with LNG export demand which remains up less than +1 BCF/day year-over-year, a storage surplus versus the 5-year average on pace to be in the triple digits to start the upcoming withdrawal season, or the influence of dropping oil prices on the gas sector (more on that below). However, the subsequent rally was likely driven by building heat in the near-term temperature outlook. This is reflected in b...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
