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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


Natural Gas Slides To 16+ Month Lows After Uninspiring EIA-Reported Storage Injection; Exceptionally Bearish Temperature Outlook Overwhelms Reasonably Supportive Fundamentals; Gas Demand To Fall Today As East Coast Warms; Weekly Injection Could Approach +100 BCF Next Week As Storage Levels Top 2000 BCF

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Friday, April 10, 2026
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for March 28-April 3, which is historically the first week of the storage injection season, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +50 BCF. This was 8 BCF larger than my projection and 37 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average. The Report included a 4 BCF downward (bullish) revision of the previous week’s Report, reducing inventories from 1865 BCF to 1861 BCF. On a temperature-adjusted basis, supply/demand imbalances loosened slightly to average 0.8 BCF/day or nearly 6 BCF/week loose, or bearish, versus the 5-year average. This means that, of the 37 BCF of the Report’s bearishness, 6 BCF was due to underlying fundamentals and the remaining 31 BCF was attributable to mild temperatures. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 1911 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average widened to +87 BCF. On the other hand, the year-over-year surplus narrowed slightly to +89 BCF. At 1911 BCF, storage levels are at the secon...

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Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, April 9, 2026
Oil & Natural Gas Plunge After Fragile Middle East Ceasefire Takes Effect; 2X BOIL & KOLD Begin Bimonthly Rollover; EIA Announces Bearish Crude Oil Inventory Build To Three-Year Highs, But Bullish Overall Report; EIA Projected To Announce Bearish +42 BCF Natural Gas Injection In Today’s Storage Report; Gas Demand To Fall Today As Eastern Chill Continues To Erode


Wednesday, April 8, 2026
Oil & Natural Gas Both Rise On Tuesday Before Collapsing After Hours On Iran Ceasefire Agreement; Near-Term Temperature Outlook Remains Unfriendly To The Bears; EIA Expected To Announce That Oil Inventories Rose To 3-Year Highs In Today’s Petroleum Status Report; Gas Demand To Fall Today As Midwest Warms


Tuesday, April 7, 2026
Natural Gas Fades But Still Logs Small Gain On Monday; Weather Remains A Drag On Sentiment Even As LNG Exports Move Towards New Highs; Gas Demand To Rise Sharply Today As Unseasonably Chilly Temperatures Dominate the Great Lakes With Bullish Daily Storage Withdrawal Likely


Click HERE For Full 30-Day Archive



Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Weekly Commentaries **NEW!***

These are a series of commentaries about broad topics and trends in the oil and natural gas sector. These will typically be published on Saturday or Sunday and will be publicly available. I hope you find them interesting and educational.


Sunday, March 31, 2024
Winter 2023-24 & The Natural Gas Sector: A Post Mortem

Sunday, March 10, 2024
It’s The Slow Knife That Cuts The Deepest: How Insidious Contango Can Smother The Natural Gas Trader & How To Avoid It

Sunday, March 3, 2024
Paradoxical? An Analysis Of Seasonal Trends In The Natural Gas Sector
Intraday Natural Gas Storage Change

Realtime Natural Gas Inventories

Advanced Model Page

The Advanced Modeling Page integrates data from multiple models to generate gas-weighted degree day (GWDD) forecasts for the next 44 days and is available to subscribers. Click HERE to learn more about subscribing.

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Intraday Temperature Data


Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.