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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
-Advanced weather modeling data
-Access to Celsius Energy's oil & natural gas portfolio.
-Daily natural gas supply & demand data
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Tuesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Surprise: Natural Gas Prices Buck My Expectations & Rise Sharply To Start The Week; Modest Downside Risk Remains In The Near-Term As Supply/Demand Imbalances Loosen & Year-Over-Year Deficit Expected To Flip To A Surplus; Gas Demand To Dip Slightly Today On Cooler Mid-Atlantic, But Bullish Daily Injection Still Expected As Midwest Heat Continues
Tuesday, September 16, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices rose steadily throughout Monday’s trading session to log a solid gain to open the week. The front-month October 2025 futures contract rose 10 cents or 3.5% to settle at $3.04/MMBTU. It was the highest settlement since Tuesday, September 9. Among ETFs, 1x UNG rose +3.2% while 2x BOIL added +5.8%. UNG is now halfway through its monthly rollover and holds 48% of its funds in November contracts. The fund will complete its rollover on Wednesday. While this will be a long-term bearish rollover due to the premium of the November to October contracts, the most likely near-term impact will be a decrease in day-to-day volatility.
As discussed in Monday’s Commentary, I had expected weakness to start the week and yesterday’s move higher caught me somewhat off guard. In my opinion, there was no clear fundamental driver for Monday’s rally. While the near-term temperature outlook remains about as supportive as it can for this time of year with 14-day accumulated Gas-Weighte...
Continue Reading Full Article (FOR SUBSCRIBERS)...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
