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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
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-Daily natural gas supply & demand data
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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Jumps To Nearly 4-Month Highs After EIA Reports Bullish +55 BCF Injection; Storage Surplus To Continue To Narrow But Expect The Rate Of Contraction To Slow; Pullback Still Likely As Investors Eye Mild Mid-To-Late October Outlook & Rebounding Production, But Look For A Buying Opportunity Not Another Leg Lower; Gas Demand To Rise Next Week As Late-Season Heat Expands Across Central US
Friday, October 4, 2024
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report covering September 21-27, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +55 BCF. This was 3 BCF smaller than my +58 BCF projection and was a very bullish 43 BCF smaller than the 5-year average. It was, by far, the single smallest injection for the week in the last 5 years. The bullishness of the injection was driven by both favorable temperatures and tight supply/demand imbalances. On a temperature-adjusted basis, I calculate supply/demand imbalances tightened last week to average 4.8 BCF/day or 34 BCF/week tight versus the 5-year average meaning that fundamentals drove roughly 75% of the week’s bullishness with hotter-than-normal temperatures contributing to the remainder. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 3547 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed to +190 BCF, the lowest since January 2024. The surplus versus the 5-year average has now narrowed in 12 straight reports dating back to July 12. In...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
