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Other elements on the site are updated on a minute-to-minute basis, providing Realtime data.
These include:
--> Wind Generation & Natural Gas Demand Displacement ***NEW!***
--> Intraday Temperature Data
--> Realtime Natural Gas Inventories
--> Oil & Natural Gas Quotes & Fair Price Data
--> Powerburn Demand
--> Celsius Energy Portfolio Holdings (Subscribers)
...Among others.
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Support Celsius Energy & Access Premium Features!
As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
-Advanced weather modeling data
-Access to Celsius Energy's oil & natural gas portfolio.
-Daily natural gas supply & demand data
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Wednesday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Prices Slide To New Nine-Month Low; Storage Surplus Versus The 5-year Average Now Projected To Top +200 BCF Late This Month; Narrative Remains Bearish, But Prices Still Approaching A Bottom; Oil Prices Drop On Ukraine Peace Prospects; EIA Expected To Announce Slightly Bearish Crude Drawdown Today; Gas Demand To Fall Today As Deep South Cools
Wednesday, August 20, 2025
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.
Natural gas prices tumbled to fresh 9-month lows on Tuesday as a rapidly deteriorating near-term temperature outlook and lower LNG export demand continued to weigh on sentiment. The front-month September 2025 contract lost 12 cents or -4.3% to settle at $2.77/MMBTU. It was the lowest close since November 8, 2024, just taking out the lows from August 12. Among ETFs, 1x UNG lost -4.4% while 2x BOIL shed -6.8%.
The drivers of the sell-off were unchanged from the past week. First and foremost, the near-term temperature outlook—especially for the last few days of August and first few of September—continues to look dismal. As of early Wednesday morning, my Consensus Model—which integrates a performance-based average of GFS OP, GFS ENS, and ECWMF ENS data—was calling for just 145 GWDDs for August 20-September , easily a 5-year low for the period as shown in the Figure to the right and down another -10 GWDDs from the previous day. ...
Continue Reading Full Article (FOR SUBSCRIBERS)...
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Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.
