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Other elements on the site are updated on a minute-to-minute basis, providing Realtime data.

These include:

--> Wind Generation & Natural Gas Demand Displacement ***NEW!***

--> Intraday Temperature Data

--> Realtime Natural Gas Inventories

--> Oil & Natural Gas Quotes & Fair Price Data

--> Powerburn Demand

--> Celsius Energy Portfolio Holdings (Subscribers)

...Among others.

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As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include:
-Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies
-Advanced weather modeling data
-Access to Celsius Energy's oil & natural gas portfolio.
-Daily natural gas supply & demand data

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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers


Natural Gas Jumps To Nearly 4-Month Highs After EIA Reports Bullish +55 BCF Injection; Storage Surplus To Continue To Narrow But Expect The Rate Of Contraction To Slow; Pullback Still Likely As Investors Eye Mild Mid-To-Late October Outlook & Rebounding Production, But Look For A Buying Opportunity Not Another Leg Lower; Gas Demand To Rise Next Week As Late-Season Heat Expands Across Central US

Chart Of The Day

Chart of the Day: Click here for more information on on natural gas investing.


Friday, October 4, 2024
This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE.


In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report covering September 21-27, the EIA announced Thursday morning that inventories rose by +55 BCF. This was 3 BCF smaller than my +58 BCF projection and was a very bullish 43 BCF smaller than the 5-year average. It was, by far, the single smallest injection for the week in the last 5 years. The bullishness of the injection was driven by both favorable temperatures and tight supply/demand imbalances. On a temperature-adjusted basis, I calculate supply/demand imbalances tightened last week to average 4.8 BCF/day or 34 BCF/week tight versus the 5-year average meaning that fundamentals drove roughly 75% of the week’s bullishness with hotter-than-normal temperatures contributing to the remainder. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 3547 BCF while the surplus versus the 5-year average narrowed to +190 BCF, the lowest since January 2024. The surplus versus the 5-year average has now narrowed in 12 straight reports dating back to July 12. In...

Continue Reading Full Article (FOR SUBSCRIBERS)...


Last 3 Daily Commentaries:

Thursday, October 3, 2024
Natural Gas Fades After Briefly Topping $3/MMBTU On Higher Matterhorn Express Production Receipts; Oil Prices Also Give Up Gains After EIA Reports Larger-Than-Expected Crude Oil Inventory Build; EIA Projected To Announce Bullish +58 BCF Natural Gas Storage Injection Today; Gas Demand To Dip Today As Seasonable Conditions Dominate Northern Tier


Wednesday, October 2, 2024
Natural Gas Prices Fall As Matterhorn Pipeline Enters Service, But Recover To Finish Tuesday Nearly Flat; Oil Prices Jump On Middle East Tension; EIA Expected To Announce Bullish Crude Oil Inventory Drawdown In Today’s Status Report That Could Send Crude Inventories To 18-Month Lows; Gas Demand To Rise Today As Late-Season Heat Builds Into The Great Plains


Tuesday, October 1, 2024
Gas Prices Rally To New 14-Week High But Volatility Is Blunted As Bulls & Bears Fight For Control; I Still Favor A Near-Term Pullback On Mild Mid-October Temperature Outlook & Higher Production, But Expect Losses To Be Limited—And Temporary--As Surpluses Continue To Narrow; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today As Late-Season Heatwave Intensifies Across The West & Texas


Click HERE For Full 30-Day Archive



Popular Charts, Tables, & Maps
Weekly Commentaries **NEW!***

These are a series of commentaries about broad topics and trends in the oil and natural gas sector. These will typically be published on Saturday or Sunday and will be publicly available. I hope you find them interesting and educational.


Sunday, March 31, 2024
Winter 2023-24 & The Natural Gas Sector: A Post Mortem

Sunday, March 10, 2024
It’s The Slow Knife That Cuts The Deepest: How Insidious Contango Can Smother The Natural Gas Trader & How To Avoid It

Sunday, March 3, 2024
Paradoxical? An Analysis Of Seasonal Trends In The Natural Gas Sector
Intraday Natural Gas Storage Change

Realtime Natural Gas Inventories

Advanced Model Page

The Advanced Modeling Page integrates data from multiple models to generate gas-weighted degree day (GWDD) forecasts for the next 44 days and is available to subscribers. Click HERE to learn more about subscribing.

Celsius Energy's Portfolio Holdings
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Intraday Temperature Data


Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.