CelsiusEnergy

Summary Dashboard Click on each link for more details Other elements on the site are updated on a minute-to-minute basis, providing Realtime data. These include: --> Wind Generation & Natural Gas Demand Displacement ***NEW!*** --> Intraday Temperature Data --> Realtime Natural Gas Inventories --> Oil & Natural Gas Quotes & Fair Price Data --> Powerburn Demand --> Celsius Energy Portfolio Holdings (Subscribers) ...Among others. Support Celsius Energy & Access Premium Features! As Celsius Energy continues to grow, costs and the time commitment to keep the site maintained build rapidly. For this reason, I am offering premium features for a small monthly fee to help support the site. These include: -Daily Commentaries, a 1000-1500 word 5x per week discussion of natural gas fundamentals, trading outlook and strategies -Advanced weather modeling data -Access to Celsius Energy's oil & natural gas portfolio. -Daily natural gas supply & demand data Click Here To Learn More

Thursday Daily Commentary For Subscribers Natural Gas Prices Finally Close Above $4/MMBTU; A Pullback Is Inevitable, But Prices Will Be Supported Long-Term; Oil Rises After Bullish Crude Draw, But WTI Looks Expensive Here; EIA Projected To Announce Very Bullish -254 BCF Withdrawal In Today’s Storage Report, But Watch Out For “Sell-The-News” Action; Gas Demand To Fall Today As Heartland Warms Chart Of The Day Chart of the Day: Click here for more information on natural gas inventories. Thursday, January 16, 2025 This Daily Commentary is available to current Premium Membership Subscribers. Subscribers gain access to these 1500-3000 word commentaries 5 times per week as well as access to my realtime Oil & Natural Gas Portfolio. To learn more about subscribing and helping to support the site, please click HERE. Natural gas prices rallied sharply on Wednesday to finally break above the 4/MMBTU level. The front-month February 2025 contract rose 12 cents or 2.9% to settle at $4.08/MMBTU, another 2-year high. The T+1 March contract actually outperformed, gaining +3.8%. Meanwhile, the 1x ETF UNG began its monthly rollover on Wednesday, selling front-month February contracts and buying March contracts. The fund now holds 28% March contracts & 72% February contracts and will complete the roll by next Monday. With a steep backwardation between the two contracts, this will, long-term, be a rare bullish roll. Gas prices continue to be heavily influenced by the coming arctic outbreak next week. A major influx of polar air is still on track dominate the Lower 48 beginning this weekend that could drive daily storage withdrawals near -60 BCF/day and, potentially, a -300 BCF weekly withdrawal for January 18-24. That said, I suspect this arctic outbreak has been fully priced in by this point. Instea... Continue Reading Full Article (FOR SUBSCRIBERS)... Last 3 Daily Commentaries: Wednesday, January 15, 2025 Natural Gas Recovers Early Losses Tuesday As Investors Eye Massive Arctic Outbreak Next Week; Choppy Trading Likely As Forecast Evolves, But Spring Futures Contracts Likely To Find Support; Oil Prices Dip On EIA Supply/Demand Outlook; EIA Expected To Announce Slightly Bullish Crude Drawdown But Bearish Refined Product Builds Today; Gas Demand To Dip Slightly Today On Warmer Plains, But Another Bullish Withdrawal Still Likely Tuesday, January 14, 2025 Natural Gas Fails To Hold Sunday Gap-Up After Lower LNG Volumes And Potential Late January Warm-Up, But Losses Are Concentrated In Overvalued Front-Month; Pullback Overdue, But It Won’t Take Much For Gas Prices To Become Attractive Again; Natural Gas Demand To Peak For The Week Today As Arctic Air Dominates The Lower 48; Projected Realtime Inventories To Fall Below 3000 BCF This Morning Monday, January 13, 2025 Natural Gas Prices Spike To 2+ Year High On Threat Of Late-January Arctic Outbreak; February Contract Steeply Overvalued & Priced For Perfection, But Later Contracts Remain Undervalued—Assuming The Weather Holds; I’m Back On The Sidelines As YTD Portfolio Gains Top +7%, But Looking To Make Moves; Gas Demand To Rise Today As Reinforcing Artic Air Races Across The Midwest & Great Lakes Click HERE For Full 30-Day Archive

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Weekly Commentaries **NEW!*** These are a series of commentaries about broad topics and trends in the oil and natural gas sector. These will typically be published on Saturday or Sunday and will be publicly available. I hope you find them interesting and educational. Sunday, March 31, 2024 Winter 2023-24 & The Natural Gas Sector: A Post Mortem Sunday, March 10, 2024 It’s The Slow Knife That Cuts The Deepest: How Insidious Contango Can Smother The Natural Gas Trader & How To Avoid It Sunday, March 3, 2024 Paradoxical? An Analysis Of Seasonal Trends In The Natural Gas Sector	Intraday Natural Gas Storage Change	Realtime Natural Gas Inventories
Advanced Model Page The Advanced Modeling Page integrates data from multiple models to generate gas-weighted degree day (GWDD) forecasts for the next 44 days and is available to subscribers. Click HERE to learn more about subscribing.	Celsius Energy's Portfolio Holdings (Or Click Here To Sign Up)	Intraday Temperature Data

Disclaimer: Natural Gas & Oil Storage Projections, Intraday Natural Gas Stats, Renewable Energy Stats, Morning Reports, and fundamental pricing models are released by Celsius Energy as experimental products. While they are intended to provide accurate, up-to-date data, they should not be used alone in making investment decisions, or decisions of any kind. Celsius Energy does not make an express or implied warranty of any kind regarding the data information including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. See full Privacy Policy HERE.